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US Pontedera vs Cittadella Vis Modena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group D Stadio Ettore Mannucci, Pontedera
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Defrel G.
70' Event
De Dominicis D.
90' Event
Bertuzzi D.

AI Match Summary

Cittadella Vis Modena in this Serie D - Group D matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cittadella Vis Modena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
US Pontedera
15%
Draws
85%
Cittadella Vis Modena
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cittadella Vis Modena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • US Pontedera haven't matched Cittadella Vis Modena's recent run of results.
  • Cittadella Vis Modena are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
US Pontedera Clean Sheet 16%
Cittadella Vis Modena Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Pontedera Cittadella Vis Modena
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 2 12
Draws 8 9
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 0.86 1
Goals Conceded 1.79 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group D
US Pontedera vs Cittadella Vis Modena
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Pontedera Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cittadella Vis Modena Compare

Top Goalscorer Defrel G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader De Dominicis D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Pontedera 10 / 100
Cittadella Vis Modena 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Pontedera Cittadella Vis Modena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cittadella Vis Modena Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: US Pontedera scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Cittadella Vis Modena conceded in 45% of 29 recent games.

Cittadella Vis Modena lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

US Pontedera VS Cittadella Vis Modena
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

US Pontedera

(Home)
04 Oct
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Pro Sesto
3 : 0
US Pontedera
12 Sept
US Pontedera
2 : 3
Pro Patria
06 Sept
Castellanzese
3 : 1
US Pontedera
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Cittadella Vis Modena

(Away)
04 Oct
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Cittadella Vis Modena
27 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 1
Correggese
20 Sept
Lentigione
0 : 1
Cittadella Vis Modena
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
1 : 0
Tropical Coriano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pistoiese 6 6 0 0 17:1 18
2 Pro Sesto 6 4 1 1 17:5 13
3 Pro Patria 6 4 1 1 10:4 13
4 Lentigione 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
5 Castellanzese 6 4 0 2 13:5 12
6 Cittadella Vis Modena 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
7 USD Casatese 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
8 Correggese 6 3 1 2 7:9 10
9 Sant'Angelo 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 Pavia 6 1 4 1 5:3 7
11 Varese FC 6 1 3 2 7:7 6
12 Varesina 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
13 Solbiatese 5 1 2 2 2:6 5
14 Tropical Coriano 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
15 Crema 6 1 1 4 4:14 4
16 Arconatese 6 0 3 3 4:13 3
17 Oltrepo 6 1 0 5 4:14 3
18 US Pontedera 5 0 0 5 3:15 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)