Sport Picks

Stadium Background

US Sandweiler vs Mertert/Wasserbillig

Luxembourg Luxembourg

Luxembourg Cup 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

US Sandweiler in this Luxembourg Cup 2014/2015 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
US Sandweiler
15%
Draws
85%
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mertert/Wasserbillig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • US Sandweiler haven't matched Mertert/Wasserbillig's recent run of results.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Mertert/Wasserbillig taking it.
  • Mertert/Wasserbillig arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor US Sandweiler, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
US Sandweiler Clean Sheet 10%
Mertert/Wasserbillig Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Sandweiler Mertert/Wasserbillig
Matches Played 21 23
Wins 6 10
Draws 0 0
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.78
Goals Conceded 2.76 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 2, 2014 Luxembourg Cup
US Sandweiler vs Mertert/Wasserbillig
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Sandweiler 10 / 100
Mertert/Wasserbillig 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Sandweiler Mertert/Wasserbillig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mertert/Wasserbillig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mertert/Wasserbillig let in goals in 87% of their last 23 matches.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: US Sandweiler scored in 62% of their last 21 outings.

Away concern: Mertert/Wasserbillig has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

US Sandweiler VS Mertert/Wasserbillig
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

US Sandweiler

(Home)
20 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 6
Wiltz
19 Sept
US Sandweiler
2 : 5
Jeunesse Canach
06 Oct
The Belval Belvaux
5 : 0
US Sandweiler
01 Oct
US Sandweiler
1 : 2
Jeunesse Canach
02 Oct
US Sandweiler
2 : 3
Jeunesse Schieren
Page 1 of 5

Mertert/Wasserbillig

(Away)
06 Oct
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 3
Schifflange
03 Oct
Rupensia Lusitanos Larochette
1 : 0
Mertert/Wasserbillig
18 Oct
Echternach
1 : 3
Mertert/Wasserbillig
10 Nov
Mertert/Wasserbillig
0 : 2
Dudelange
22 Sept
Jeunesse Schieren
1 : 2
Mertert/Wasserbillig
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Differdange -
TBD -
FC Yellow Boys Weiler 1
Union Remich/Bous 4
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 3
Mondercange 2
Union Tetange 0
FC Rodange 91 3
Wiltz -
TBD -
FC Mamer 2
Lintgen 5
Schifflange 2
US Berdorf Consdorf 1
TBD -
Rumelange -
Luxembourg City 3
CS Petange 0
TBD -
Jeunesse Esch -
Victoria Rosport -
TBD -
Alliance Aischdall 2
Racing Luxembourg 4
Kaerjeng -
TBD -
FC Residence Walferdange 1
FC Marisca Mersch 3
Avenir Beggen 3
AS Hosingen 0
TBD -
Jeunesse Canach -
Dudelange -
TBD -
Kehlen 0
Berdenia Berbourg 2
Progres Niedercorn -
TBD -
Alisontia Steinsel 1
UNA Strassen 2
Mondorf -
TBD -
Oberkorn 2
FC Munsbach 3
Bissen 1
Erpeldange 0
TBD -
Fola -
Grevenmacher -
TBD -
Jeunesse Junglinster 2
Sporting Bertrange 3
Lamadelaine 4
Blo Weiss Medernach 0
Diekirch 0
Hesperange 5
Hostert -
TBD -
Mertert/Wasserbillig 2
US Sandweiler 3
AS Wincrange 2
FC Orania Vianden 1
TBD -
Ettelbruck -
1/16-finals
Differdange 4
Union Remich/Bous 1
Blue Boys Muhlenbach 0
FC Rodange 91 4
Wiltz 4
Lintgen 1
Schifflange 0
Rumelange 1
Luxembourg City 2
Jeunesse Esch 1
Victoria Rosport 0
Racing Luxembourg 3
Kaerjeng 2
FC Marisca Mersch 1
Avenir Beggen 1
Jeunesse Canach 2
Dudelange 4
Berdenia Berbourg 0
Progres Niedercorn 2
UNA Strassen 4
Mondorf 2
FC Munsbach 0
Bissen 1
Fola 4
Grevenmacher 3
Sporting Bertrange 1
Lamadelaine 0
Hesperange 1
Hostert 5
US Sandweiler 0
AS Wincrange 1
Ettelbruck 2
1/8-finals
Differdange 3
FC Rodange 91 0
Wiltz 3
Rumelange 4
Luxembourg City 2
Racing Luxembourg 0
Kaerjeng 1
Jeunesse Canach 3
Dudelange 1
UNA Strassen 0
Mondorf 2
Fola 4
Grevenmacher 3
Hesperange 0
Hostert 0
Ettelbruck 2
Quarter-finals
Differdange 5
Rumelange 2
Luxembourg City 0
Jeunesse Canach 1
Dudelange 3
Fola 1
Grevenmacher 1
Ettelbruck 2
Semi-finals
Differdange 3
Jeunesse Canach 2
Dudelange 4
Ettelbruck 0
Final
Differdange 2
Dudelange 1