Sport Picks

Stadium Background

US Tolentino vs Porto Sant'Elpidio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Minella S.
35' Event
Minella S.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Conti F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 game between US Tolentino and Porto Sant'Elpidio finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Tolentino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
US Tolentino
22%
Draws
60%
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Porto Sant'Elpidio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Porto Sant'Elpidio haven't matched US Tolentino's recent run of results.
  • Porto Sant'Elpidio are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors US Tolentino here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 20%
Porto Sant'Elpidio Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Tolentino Porto Sant'Elpidio
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 4
Draws 8 3
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 0.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
4:0
Sep 27, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs US Tolentino
0:2
Mar 8, 2020 Serie D - Group F
Porto Sant'Elpidio vs US Tolentino
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Porto Sant'Elpidio
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Tolentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Minella S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Conti F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Porto Sant'Elpidio Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Tolentino 20 / 100
Porto Sant'Elpidio 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Tolentino Porto Sant'Elpidio

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Porto Sant'Elpidio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

US Tolentino went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

US Tolentino scored in 48% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

US Tolentino VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Campobasso34219463:2972
2Notaresco Calcio341810659:3464
3Pineto341511845:3356
4Cynthialbalonga341414651:3556
5Matese341511846:3856
6Castelfidardo341413746:3355
7Recanatese3413111062:4550
8Castelnuovo Vomano341481253:5350
9Vastese341213945:3748
10Montegiorgio341371442:4246
11FC Rieti341281438:4244
12Aprilia3411111243:4944
13Roma City348161040:4140
14US Tolentino349131252:5340
15Vastogirardi3410101446:5140
16Giulianova347101733:5031
17Porto Sant'Elpidio34452522:6317
18Agnonese34362525:8315