Sport Picks

Stadium Background

US Tolentino vs Trastevere Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gori N.
79' Event
Nagy F.
85' Event
Tortolano E.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 game between US Tolentino and Trastevere Calcio finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward US Tolentino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
US Tolentino
28%
Draws
50%
Trastevere Calcio
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Trastevere Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Trastevere Calcio come out ahead of US Tolentino on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Trastevere Calcio taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and US Tolentino have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
US Tolentino Clean Sheet 10%
Trastevere Calcio Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Tolentino Trastevere Calcio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0 2.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Trastevere Calcio
2:1
Dec 11, 2022 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs US Tolentino
1:2
Feb 13, 2022 Serie D - Group F
US Tolentino vs Trastevere Calcio
1:0
Oct 3, 2021 Serie D - Group F
Trastevere Calcio vs US Tolentino
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

US Tolentino Compare

Top Goalscorer Gori N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nagy F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Trastevere Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Tortolano E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Tolentino 22 / 100
Trastevere Calcio 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Tolentino Trastevere Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Trastevere Calcio has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Solid form: US Tolentino remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Trastevere Calcio lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trastevere Calcio
0 Goals Scored 2.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

US Tolentino

(Home)
29 Jul
Ascoli
5 : 0
US Tolentino
07 May
US Tolentino
1 : 0
Roma City
30 Apr
Porto D'Ascoli
1 : 2
US Tolentino
23 Apr
US Tolentino
2 : 1
Trastevere Calcio
16 Apr
Avezzano
3 : 0
US Tolentino
Page 1 of 6

Trastevere Calcio

(Away)
16 May
Trastevere Calcio
0 : 1
Monastir
10 May
Trastevere Calcio
2 : 0
Albalonga
03 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 0
Trastevere Calcio
26 Apr
Trastevere Calcio
3 : 0
Albalonga
19 Apr
Olbia
3 : 2
Trastevere Calcio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pineto34219450:2172
2Vigor Senigallia34207752:3467
3Trastevere Calcio34188856:4162
4Fano341861045:3460
5Cynthialbalonga341313832:2352
6Matese3412111144:3847
7Sambenedettese341381339:3746
8Calcio Chieti3412101229:2746
9Porto D'Ascoli341015928:2745
10Vastogirardi3410131130:3142
11Nuova Florida341191433:4442
12Avezzano341171635:4140
13Roma City349101529:4237
14Vastese348121437:4336
15Termoli345191025:3434
16Notaresco Calcio346131523:4131
17Montegiorgio347101721:3431
18US Tolentino347101725:4131
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2022/2023 (Play Out)