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US Tregunc vs Les Herbiers - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

France France

Coupe de France 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Les Herbiers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
US Tregunc
15%
Draws
52%
Les Herbiers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Les Herbiers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Les Herbiers come out ahead of US Tregunc on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Les Herbiers arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Les Herbiers, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
US Tregunc Clean Sheet 17%
Les Herbiers Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric US Tregunc Les Herbiers
Matches Played 4 31
Wins 1 15
Draws 0 4
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 21, 2009 Coupe de France
US Tregunc vs Les Herbiers
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

US Tregunc 36 / 100
Les Herbiers 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
US Tregunc Les Herbiers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Les Herbiers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Les Herbiers conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: US Tregunc scored in 75% of their last 4 outings.

Away concern: Les Herbiers has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Les Herbiers
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

US Tregunc

(Home)
28 Nov
US Tregunc
0 : 3
La Roche Vendee
13 Nov
Carquefou
0 : 1
US Tregunc
20 Nov
US Tregunc
1 : 3
TA Rennes
21 Nov
US Tregunc
2 : 3
Les Herbiers

Les Herbiers

(Away)
02 Oct
Bayonne
0 : 1
Les Herbiers
19 Sept
Les Herbiers
0 : 1
Tarbes
11 Sept
Chauray
1 : 2
Les Herbiers
04 Sept
Les Herbiers
1 : 2
Avranches
29 Aug
Dinan
2 : 0
Les Herbiers
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montceau 2
Seyssinet 0
Creteil 0
Tours 2
Strasbourg 3
Biesheim 1
Tremery 0
Thionville 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
AC Ajaccio 2
Cassis Carnoux 1
Pamiers 0
Balma 2
Luzenac 1
Arles-Avignon 0
Ain Sud Foot 0
Cannes 4
Rodez 4
Venissieux FC 1
Franciscain 1
Lucon 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Beauvais 4
Rouen 2
Montlucon 0
Nevers 1
Dijon 3
Amneville 0
Granville 1
Versailles 2
Chauray 3
St Sebastien 1
Cognac 0
Feytiat 1
Calvi 3
Borgo FC (Inactive) 2
Canet Roussillon 1
Agen 2
Le Mans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
St. Louis Neuweg 2
Oberlauterbach 1
Sarrebourg 1
Besancon RC 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sochaux -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Grande Motte 2
AS Muret 1
Bastia 0
Marignane GCB 1
Annonay 1
Valence 0
Toulon 1
Villefranche 2
Grenoble -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Troyes 6
Bischheim Soleil 0
Toul 0
Selongey 1
Romorantin 5
Stade Poitevin 2
La Vitreenne 1
Vannes 4
Brest 5
St Mars La Briere 0
St. Renan 1
TA Rennes 3
Plouvorn 2
Combourgeoise 0
Cayenne 0
Pontivy 5
Les Herbiers 3
US Tregunc 2
La Fleche 2
Chartres 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Marseille -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
La Ferte-bernard 4
Courbevoie 0
Blanquefort 0
Trelissac 1
Compiegne 1
Arras 0
Lumbres 1
Marck 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lens -
Quevilly 6
Kaweni 0
Villemomble 0
Pacy Eure 1
Fresnoy 3
Neuilly Marne 0
Maubeuge 1
St Quentin 3
Lattes 1
Bayonne 0
Bourg Jall 2
Bagnols Pont 4
Excelsior 1
Quimper Stade 0
Poissy 0
Angers 1
Saumur Olympique 3
Chateauroux 1
Moulins 2
Cholet 3
Cherbourg 4
Chantepie 0
Mont Dore 3
Avranches 5
Caen 1
Dunkerque 0
Sin Le Noble 0
Les Lilas 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rennes -
Guingamp -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Paimpol 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 1
Fougeres 1
Bonchamp 2
Marquette 2
Tourcoing 1
Issy 1
Loon Plage 2
La Chapelle 3
Jarville 2
Sarre Union 2
Mulhouse 3
Colmar 5
Baume Dames 2
Jura Dolois 1
Metz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Seclin 5
Luneray 4
SC Feignies (inactive) 0
Aire-sur-la-Lys 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boulogne -
Auxerre -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Avion 1
Le Havre 0
Roissy 1
Amiens SC 7
St Ouen 5
Chambly 2
Clermont 1
Moulins-Yzeure 2
Montereau 0
Moissy-Cramayel 2
Calais 1
Sedan 3
Nancy -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Niort 2
St Jean Le Blan 0
St Germain Fosses 1
Thiers 6
Nice -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Concarneau 3
Nantes 0
Montgermont 1
Plabennec 4
Vesoul 2
Sens 1
Robertsau 1
Forbach 3
Le Poire Sur Vie 3
Marie Galante 2
Vitre 0
Laval 2
Dizier 2
Reims Ste Anne 1
La Vigilante 1
Orleans 7
ESB Marboz 1
Mt Pilat 0
Manu-Ura 0
Raon L Etape 3
Thonon-Evian 3
Vallieres ET 0
Saint Priest 0
Feurs 1
Nimes 2
Istres 1
Gaudens 1
Pau 3
Aubervilliers 1
Flers 0
Hermes Berth. 1
Cambrai 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
1/64-finals
Monaco -
TBD -
Montceau 1
Tours 2
Strasbourg 3
Thionville 0
TBD -
Lyon -
AC Ajaccio 3
Balma 1
Luzenac 0
Cannes 3
Rodez 3
Lucon 1
TBD -
Bordeaux -
Beauvais 4
Nevers 1
Dijon 0
Versailles 1
Chauray 1
Feytiat 0
Calvi 0
Agen 1
Le Mans -
TBD -
TBD -
Valenciennes -
St. Louis Neuweg 4
Besancon RC 0
TBD -
Sochaux -
St Etienne -
TBD -
TBD -
Lorient -
Grande Motte 1
Marignane GCB 0
Annonay 1
Villefranche 2
Grenoble -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
Troyes 2
Selongey 1
Romorantin 0
Vannes 2
Brest 2
TA Rennes 1
Plouvorn 1
Pontivy 5
Les Herbiers 2
Chartres 1
TBD -
Toulouse -
Marseille -
TBD -
La Ferte-bernard 2
Trelissac 3
Compiegne 3
Marck 2
TBD -
Lens -
Quevilly 2
Pacy Eure 0
Fresnoy 0
St Quentin 1
Lattes 1
Bagnols Pont 0
Excelsior 0
Angers 5
Saumur Olympique 3
Cholet 2
Cherbourg 0
Avranches 3
Caen 1
Les Lilas 0
TBD -
Rennes -
Guingamp -
TBD -
Paimpol 1
Bonchamp 2
Marquette 2
Loon Plage 1
La Chapelle 1
Mulhouse 4
Colmar 3
Metz 2
TBD -
Lille -
Seclin 1
Aire-sur-la-Lys 0
TBD -
Boulogne -
Auxerre -
TBD -
Avion 1
Amiens SC 2
St Ouen 2
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Moissy-Cramayel 1
Sedan 3
Nancy -
TBD -
Niort 1
Thiers 3
Nice -
TBD -
Concarneau 0
Plabennec 2
Vesoul 4
Forbach 1
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Laval 4
Dizier 4
Orleans 3
ESB Marboz 1
Raon L Etape 6
Thonon-Evian 4
Feurs 0
Nimes 1
Pau 2
Aubervilliers 1
Cambrai 0
TBD -
PSG -
1/32-finals
Monaco 1
Tours 0
Strasbourg 1
Lyon 3
AC Ajaccio 3
Cannes 0
Rodez 0
Bordeaux 1
Beauvais 3
Versailles 0
Chauray 0
Agen 1
Le Mans 1
Valenciennes 0
St. Louis Neuweg 0
Sochaux 1
St Etienne 4
Lorient 1
Grande Motte 0
Villefranche 2
Grenoble 3
Montpellier 2
Troyes 1
Vannes 2
Brest 1
Pontivy 0
Les Herbiers 0
Toulouse 1
Marseille 2
Trelissac 0
Compiegne 0
Lens 1
Quevilly 6
St Quentin 0
Lattes 0
Angers 1
Saumur Olympique 1
Avranches 0
Caen 0
Rennes 2
Guingamp 2
Bonchamp 0
Marquette 1
Mulhouse 2
Colmar 1
Lille 0
Seclin 1
Boulogne 4
Auxerre 1
Amiens SC 0
St Ouen 0
Sedan 3
Nancy 2
Thiers 1
Nice 1
Plabennec 2
Vesoul 2
Laval 1
Dizier 0
Raon L Etape 4
Thonon-Evian 2
Pau 0
Aubervilliers 0
PSG 5
1/16-finals
Monaco 2
Lyon 1
AC Ajaccio 1
Bordeaux 5
Beauvais 3
Agen 0
Le Mans 0
Sochaux 3
St Etienne 3
Villefranche 2
Grenoble 3
Vannes 4
Brest 2
Toulouse 0
Marseille 1
Lens 3
Quevilly 1
Angers 0
Saumur Olympique 0
Rennes 4
Guingamp 1
Mulhouse 0
Colmar 1
Boulogne 2
Auxerre 2
Sedan 1
Nancy 0
Plabennec 2
Vesoul 1
Raon L Etape 0
Thonon-Evian 1
PSG 3
1/8-finals
Monaco 2
Bordeaux 0
Beauvais 1
Sochaux 4
St Etienne 2
Vannes 0
Brest 1
Lens 2
Quevilly 1
Rennes 0
Guingamp 0
Boulogne 1
Auxerre 4
Plabennec 0
Vesoul 0
PSG 1
Quarter-finals
Monaco 4
Sochaux 3
St Etienne 1
Lens 3
Quevilly 3
Boulogne 1
Auxerre 0
PSG 1
Semi-finals
Monaco 1
Lens 0
Quevilly 0
PSG 1
Final
Monaco 0
PSG 1