Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA U17 vs Malawi U17

World World

World Cup U17 2009 Sani Abacha Stadium, Kano
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
McInerney J.
54' Event
Shinsky A.
54'
Sub
Chavez V. In: Craven A.
Out: Chavez V.

AI Match Summary

USA U17 in this World Cup U17 2009 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
USA U17
15%
Draws
26%
Malawi U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Malawi U17 haven't matched USA U17's recent run of results.
  • USA U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • USA U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U17, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
USA U17 Clean Sheet 17%
Malawi U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U17 Malawi U17
Matches Played 31 11
Wins 19 2
Draws 1 0
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 3.1 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.32 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2009 World Cup U17
USA U17 vs Malawi U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shinsky A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Malawi U17 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U17 84 / 100
Malawi U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U17 Malawi U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U17 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Malawi U17 let in goals in 91% of their last 11 matches.

USA U17 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Malawi U17 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA U17 VS Malawi U17
5.13 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U17

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil U17
1 : 0
USA U17
07 Jun
Brazil U17
4 : 0
USA U17
10 Feb
USA U17
1 : 1
Dominican Republic U17
08 Feb
Saint Kitts and Nevis U17
0 : 10
USA U17
05 Feb
USA U17
8 : 0
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines U17
Page 1 of 7

Malawi U17

(Away)
26 Oct
Malawi U17
0 : 3
South Africa U17
07 Dec
Zambia U17
3 : 1
Malawi U17
22 Sept
Botswana U17
2 : 1
Malawi U17
08 Sept
Malawi U17
2 : 1
Botswana U17
01 Nov
Malawi U17
1 : 4
Spain U17
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria U17 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
2 Argentina U17 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Germany U17 3 1 1 1 7:6 4
4 Honduras U17 3 0 0 3 1:5 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland U17 3 3 0 0 7:3 9
2 Mexico U17 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Brazil U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Japan U17 3 0 0 3 5:9 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U17 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
2 Colombia U17 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Netherlands U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Gambia U17 3 0 1 2 3:6 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U17 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
2 Burkina Faso U17 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 New Zealand U17 3 0 3 0 3:3 3
4 Costa Rica U17 3 0 1 2 3:9 1
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 USA U17 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 United Arab Emirates U17 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Malawi U17 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
2 South Korea U17 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Uruguay U17 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Algeria U17 3 0 0 3 0:5 0
Promotion - World Cup U17 2009 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams