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World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 3), Salé

USA U17 W

5 - 2

China U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

12'

Zhou Xinyi

Assist: Zhang Kecan

27'

Malsom L.

Assist: O‘Neill C.

33'

Sub

Zhang Kecan In: Xu Yue

Out: Zhang Kecan

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

USA U17 W in this World Cup Women U17 2025 tie, finishing 5-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

USA U17 W

15%

Draws

54%

China U17 W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: China U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to USA U17 W lately — more wins on the board than China U17 W.
China U17 W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
USA U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor USA U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 88%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

USA U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

China U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	USA U17 W	China U17 W
Matches Played	30	25
Wins	19	12
Draws	3	2
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	3.43	2.04
Goals Conceded	0.87	1.36
Expected Goals (xG)	3.33	1.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2025 World Cup Women U17

USA U17 W vs China U17 W

5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Malsom L.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Touray N.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.56

Avg xA / game 1.67

China U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhou Xinyi

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zeng Yijie

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.75

Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U17 W 14 / 100

China U17 W 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

USA U17 W China U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick China U17 W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U17 W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

China U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 25 matches.

USA U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA U17 W VS China U17 W

5.5 Goals Scored 3.33

0.5 Goals Conceded 1.17

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U17 W

(Home)

19 Aug

USA U17 W

4 : 1

Canada U17 W

17 Aug

USA U17 W

1 : 0

Chile U17 W

13 Aug

USA U17 W

1 : 1

Mexico U17 W

06 Jul

Japan U17 W

2 : 1

USA U17 W

03 Jul

Japan U17 W

5 : 3

USA U17 W

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China U17 W

(Away)

14 May

China U17 W

2 : 4

North Korea U17 W

11 May

China U17 W

3 : 0

India U17 W

07 May

China U17 W

6 : 0

Thailand U17 W

04 May

Vietnam U17 W

0 : 3

China U17 W

01 May

China U17 W

6 : 0

Myanmar U17 W

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