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USA U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 3), Salé
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Match Events

15'
Villacis K.
19' Event
Brewer M.
Assist: Antonucci S.
28'
Flores A.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with USA U17 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
USA U17 W
30%
Draws
29%
Ecuador U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USA U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • USA U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans USA U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • USA U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
USA U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Ecuador U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U17 W Ecuador U17 W
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 19 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 3.55 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 3.67 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 World Cup Women U17
USA U17 W vs Ecuador U17 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brewer M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Touray N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.82
Avg xA / game 1.83

Ecuador U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U17 W 85 / 100
Ecuador U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U17 W Ecuador U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U17 W's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

USA U17 W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ecuador U17 W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA U17 W VS Ecuador U17 W
5.5 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.83
88% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U17 W

(Home)
19 Aug
USA U17 W
4 : 1
Canada U17 W
17 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 0
Chile U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
06 Jul
Japan U17 W
2 : 1
USA U17 W
03 Jul
Japan U17 W
5 : 3
USA U17 W
Page 1 of 6

Ecuador U17 W

(Away)
09 May
Chile U17 W
2 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
03 May
Brazil U17 W
4 : 0
Ecuador U17 W
01 May
Ecuador U17 W
0 : 0
Uruguay U17 W
29 Apr
Ecuador U17 W
1 : 1
Peru U17 W
27 Apr
Venezuela U17 W
0 : 1
Ecuador U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:4 9
2 Brazil U17 W 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 Morocco U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Costa Rica U17 W 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Mexico U17 W 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Netherlands U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Cameroon U17 W 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 China U17 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Ecuador U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Norway U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 W 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 France U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Nigeria U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Samoa U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Colombia U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 South Korea U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
4 Ivory Coast U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 W 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Paraguay U17 W 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Zambia U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 New Zealand U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)