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USA U17 W vs Mexico U17 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Manning A.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Urbano M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women game between USA U17 W and Mexico U17 W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
USA U17 W
30%
Draws
43%
Mexico U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Mexico U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • USA U17 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Mexico U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • USA U17 W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
USA U17 W Clean Sheet 18%
Mexico U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U17 W Mexico U17 W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 14
Draws 3 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 3.55 2.13
Goals Conceded 0.79 1
Expected Goals (xG) 3.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2026 Friendly International Women
USA U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
1:1
Feb 11, 2024 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
USA U17 W vs Mexico U17 W
4:0
May 8, 2022 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs USA U17 W
1:2
Jun 12, 2018 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs USA U17 W
2:3
Mar 13, 2016 CONCACAF Championship Women U17
Mexico U17 W vs USA U17 W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.63

Mexico U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Urbano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U17 W 10 / 100
Mexico U17 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U17 W Mexico U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U17 W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Mexico U17 W let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: USA U17 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USA U17 W VS Mexico U17 W
5.88 Goals Scored 2.38
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 25%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U17 W

(Home)
19 Aug
USA U17 W
4 : 1
Canada U17 W
17 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 0
Chile U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
06 Jul
Japan U17 W
2 : 1
USA U17 W
03 Jul
Japan U17 W
5 : 3
USA U17 W
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Mexico U17 W

(Away)
16 Aug
Canada U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
13 Aug
USA U17 W
1 : 1
Mexico U17 W
22 Mar
Mexico U17 W
2 : 0
Costa Rica U17 W
19 Mar
Panama U17 W
1 : 6
Mexico U17 W
17 Mar
Mexico U17 W
9 : 0
Jamaica U17 W
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