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USA U18 vs Portugal U18

World World

Friendly International 2025 Colovray Sports Centre
Tue, Jun 10, 2025
2 - 1
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Contreras J.
60' Event
Blopa S.
1' Event
Meireles A.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between USA U18 and Portugal U18 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
USA U18
6%
Draws
90%
Portugal U18
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Portugal U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Portugal U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Portugal U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
USA U18 Clean Sheet 10%
Portugal U18 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U18 Portugal U18
Matches Played 27 37
Wins 14 21
Draws 3 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs USA U18
1:1
Jun 10, 2025 Friendly International
USA U18 vs Portugal U18
2:1
Jun 8, 2014 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs USA U18
2:0
May 23, 2013 Friendly International
Portugal U18 vs USA U18
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Portugal U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Blopa S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U18 10 / 100
Portugal U18 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U18 Portugal U18

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U18 found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Portugal U18 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 37 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

USA U18 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA U18 VS Portugal U18
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%