Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA U19 vs Japan U19

World World

Friendly International 2024 Oliva Nova Sports Center, Valencia
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Joyner M.
42' Event
Miller H.
46'
Sub
Miller H. In: Baiera D.
Out: Miller H.

AI Match Summary

USA U19 in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored USA U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
USA U19
15%
Draws
28%
Japan U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • USA U19 have won more games recently than Japan U19.
  • USA U19 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • USA U19 have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
USA U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Japan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U19 Japan U19
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 16 10
Draws 4 1
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
USA U19 vs Japan U19
5:2
Nov 18, 2025 Friendly International
Japan U19 vs USA U19
0:1
Oct 15, 2024 Friendly International
USA U19 vs Japan U19
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joyner M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Miller H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Japan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shimamoto Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nawata G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U19 84 / 100
Japan U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U19 Japan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U19 found the back of the net in 88% of recent matches (26 games).

Japan U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.33 goals per match.

Recent resilience: USA U19 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA U19 VS Japan U19
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U19

(Home)
09 Jun
USA U19
5 : 2
Japan U19
28 Mar
Wales U19
0 : 4
USA U19
18 Nov
Japan U19
0 : 1
USA U19
15 Nov
Wales U19
2 : 1
USA U19
12 Nov
USA U19
2 : 1
Germany U19
Page 1 of 6

Japan U19

(Away)
09 Jun
USA U19
5 : 2
Japan U19
06 Jun
Mexico U20
1 : 3
Japan U19
30 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
2 : 1
Japan U19
25 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
0 : 1
Japan U19
18 Nov
Japan U19
0 : 1
USA U19
Page 1 of 6