Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA U20 vs Nicaragua U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sullivan Q.
Assist: Luna D.
46'
Sub
Gutierrez M. In: Reyes I.
Out: Gutierrez M.
46'
Sub
Soto O. In: Caceres J.
Out: Soto O.

AI Match Summary

USA U20 in this CONCACAF Championship U20 2022 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
USA U20
15%
Draws
48%
Nicaragua U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nicaragua U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • USA U20 have won more games recently than Nicaragua U20.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on Nicaragua U20 taking it.
  • USA U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
USA U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nicaragua U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U20 Nicaragua U20
Matches Played 36 25
Wins 25 15
Draws 3 0
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 2.83 2.64
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2022 CONCACAF Championship U20
USA U20 vs Nicaragua U20
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Sullivan Q.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Neal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Nicaragua U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U20 22 / 100
Nicaragua U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U20 Nicaragua U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nicaragua U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U20 scored in 86% of their last 36 games.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

USA U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Nicaragua U20 conceded in 52% of 25 recent games.

Scoring Trends

USA U20 VS Nicaragua U20
2.13 Goals Scored 3
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U20

(Home)
04 Oct
Denmark U20
3 : 3
USA U20
01 Oct
Brazil U20
2 : 0
USA U20
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
07 Aug
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
USA U20
05 Aug
USA U20
3 : 1
Guatemala U20
Page 1 of 8

Nicaragua U20

(Away)
05 Mar
Canada U20
0 : 1
Nicaragua U20
02 Mar
United States Virgin Islands U20
3 : 6
Nicaragua U20
27 Feb
Nicaragua U20
5 : 0
Martinique U20
25 Feb
Nicaragua U20
0 : 2
Aruba U20
03 Mar
Nicaragua U20
1 : 2
Cuba U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
USA U20 5
Nicaragua U20 0
Costa Rica U20 4
Trinidad & Tobago U20 1
Cuba U20 0
Panama U20 1
Honduras U20 4
Curacao U20 1
El Salvador U20 4
Dominican Republic U20 5
Haiti U20 1
Jamaica U20 2
Guatemala U20 2
Canada U20 1
Mexico U20 6
Puerto Rico U20 0
Quarter-finals
USA U20 2
Costa Rica U20 0
Panama U20 1
Honduras U20 2
Dominican Republic U20 1
Jamaica U20 0
Guatemala U20 2
Mexico U20 1
Semi-finals
USA U20 3
Honduras U20 0
Dominican Republic U20 3
Guatemala U20 2
Final
USA U20 6
Dominican Republic U20 0