Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA U20 W vs Netherlands U20 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women U20 2024 Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
USA U20 W Logo

USA U20 W

Sat, Sep 21, 2024
2 - 1
09:00 PM
Netherlands U20 W Logo

Netherlands U20 W

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Sentnor A.
Assist: Thompson G.
26' Event
Lacroix R.
Assist: Stoit F.
46'
Sub
Remmers I. In: Oude Elberink E.
Out: Remmers I.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with USA U20 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
USA U20 W
15%
Draws
51%
Netherlands U20 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Netherlands U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Netherlands U20 W haven't matched USA U20 W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives USA U20 W a 34% chance of winning this.
  • USA U20 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor USA U20 W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors USA U20 W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
USA U20 W Clean Sheet 20%
Netherlands U20 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U20 W Netherlands U20 W
Matches Played 38 23
Wins 23 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.34 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.95 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2024 World Cup Women U20
USA U20 W vs Netherlands U20 W
2:1
Aug 14, 2022 World Cup Women U20
USA U20 W vs Netherlands U20 W
0:3
Jun 28, 2022 Friendly International Women
USA U20 W vs Netherlands U20 W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sentnor A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Netherlands U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lacroix R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U20 W 85 / 100
Netherlands U20 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U20 W Netherlands U20 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USA U20 W scored in 82% of their last 38 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Netherlands U20 W conceded in 78% of 23 recent games.

Difficult form: Netherlands U20 W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA U20 W VS Netherlands U20 W
3 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USA U20 W

(Home)
16 Sept
Brazil U20 W
2 : 1
USA U20 W
12 Sept
New Zealand U20 W
0 : 9
USA U20 W
09 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 2
USA U20 W
06 Sept
USA U20 W
1 : 2
Italy U20 W
13 Jul
USA U20 W
0 : 1
Colombia U20 W
Page 1 of 8

Netherlands U20 W

(Away)
21 Sept
USA U20 W
2 : 1
Netherlands U20 W
19 Sept
Japan U20 W
2 : 0
Netherlands U20 W
15 Sept
Netherlands U20 W
3 : 2
Colombia U20 W
13 Sept
France U20 W
1 : 2
Netherlands U20 W
08 Sept
Netherlands U20 W
0 : 2
North Korea U20 W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Mexico U20 W 2
USA U20 W 3
Germany U20 W 5
Argentina U20 W 1
Brazil U20 W 3
Cameroon U20 W 1
North Korea U20 W 5
Austria U20 W 2
Japan U20 W 2
Nigeria U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 2
Canada U20 W 1
France U20 W 1
Netherlands U20 W 2
Colombia U20 W 1
South Korea U20 W 0
Quarter-finals
USA U20 W 3
Germany U20 W 2
Brazil U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 1
Spain U20 W 0
Netherlands U20 W 3
Colombia U20 W 2
Semi-finals
USA U20 W 0
North Korea U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 2
Netherlands U20 W 0
Final
North Korea U20 W 1
Japan U20 W 0
USA U20 W 2
Netherlands U20 W 1