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USA U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W

World World

World Cup Women U20 2024 Estadio Metropolitano de Techo
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AI Match Summary

USA U20 W play Paraguay U20 W in the World Cup Women U20 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, USA U20 W averaged 2.41 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. Paraguay U20 W averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, USA U20 W won 2, Paraguay U20 W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 7, 2024 ended 7:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for USA U20 W and 1.03 for Paraguay U20 W. This points to a USA U20 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
USA U20 W
18%
Draws
28%
Paraguay U20 W
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: USA U20 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • USA U20 W picked up more points recently compared to Paraguay U20 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.03 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
USA U20 W Clean Sheet 23%
Paraguay U20 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA U20 W Paraguay U20 W
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 20 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2.41 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.71 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.43 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2024 World Cup Women U20
USA U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
7:0
Aug 9, 2018 World Cup Women U20
USA U20 W vs Paraguay U20 W
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA U20 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tordin P.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Thompson G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.32
Avg xA / game 0.85

Paraguay U20 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA U20 W 53 / 100
Paraguay U20 W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA U20 W Paraguay U20 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA U20 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick USA U20 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

USA U20 W attacking → ← attacking Paraguay U20 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA U20 W scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Paraguay U20 W let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 6.50 goals.

USA U20 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Paraguay U20 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

64 Points in last 5 46
1.71 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
0.43 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colombia U20 W33004:09
2Mexico U20 W31114:34
3Cameroon U20 W31114:34
4Australia U20 W30030:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brazil U20 W330014:09
2France U20 W311114:64
3Canada U20 W311112:54
4Fiji U20 W30030:290
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U20 W33005:09
2USA U20 W32019:16
3Paraguay U20 W31022:93
4Morocco U20 W30030:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U20 W32018:46
2Nigeria U20 W32016:36
3South Korea U20 W31111:14
4Venezuela U20 W30122:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U20 W330013:19
2Austria U20 W32015:46
3Ghana U20 W31025:73
4New Zealand U20 W30032:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Korea U20 W330017:29
2Netherlands U20 W31115:54
3Argentina U20 W31116:94
4Costa Rica U20 W30030:120