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USA vs Brazil

World World

Friendly International 2024 Camping World Stadium, Orlando, FL
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Joao Gomes
17' Event
Rodrygo
Assist: Raphinha
26' Event
Pulisic C.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between USA and Brazil finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
USA
15%
Draws
45%
Brazil
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA come out ahead of Brazil on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Brazil's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Brazil have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
USA Clean Sheet 10%
Brazil Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA Brazil
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 17 15
Draws 2 8
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.78 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.47 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2024 Friendly International
USA vs Brazil
1:1
Sep 8, 2018 Friendly International
USA vs Brazil
0:2
Sep 9, 2015 Friendly International
USA vs Brazil
1:4
May 31, 2012 Friendly International
USA vs Brazil
1:4
Aug 11, 2010 Friendly International
USA vs Brazil
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Pulisic C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Brazil Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodrygo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA 26 / 100
Brazil 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA Brazil

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USA scored in 81% of their last 32 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Brazil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: USA stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA VS Brazil
2.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USA

(Home)
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
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Brazil

(Away)
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
29 Jun
Brazil
2 : 1
Japan
24 Jun
Scotland
0 : 3
Brazil
20 Jun
Brazil
3 : 0
Haiti
13 Jun
Brazil
1 : 1
Morocco
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