Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA vs Colombia

World World

Friendly International 2024 Northwest stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Arias J.
19' Event
Borre R.
Assist: Lerma J.
46'
Sub
Uribe M. In: Rios R.
Out: Uribe M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between USA and Colombia finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
USA
44%
Draws
20%
Colombia
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • USA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Colombia have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
USA Clean Sheet 11%
Colombia Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA Colombia
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 19 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2024 Friendly International
USA vs Colombia
1:5
Jan 29, 2023 Friendly International
USA vs Colombia
0:0
Oct 11, 2018 Friendly International
USA vs Colombia
2:4
Jun 26, 2016 Copa América
USA vs Colombia
0:1
Jun 4, 2016 Copa América
USA vs Colombia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Weah T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Colombia Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Borre R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA 35 / 100
Colombia 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA Colombia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA scored in 85% of their last 33 games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: USA remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Colombia has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA VS Colombia
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%