Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA vs Germany

World World

Friendly International Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Havertz K.
Assist: Kimmich J.
37' Event
Robinson A.
57' Event
Sane L.
Assist: Havertz K.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between USA and Germany finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Germany.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
USA
15%
Draws
26%
Germany
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Germany's 2.41 goals per match outpaces what USA have produced (1.96).
  • USA are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
USA Clean Sheet 10%
Germany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA Germany
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 16 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.96 2.41
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
USA vs Germany
1:2
Oct 14, 2023 Friendly International
USA vs Germany
1:3
Jun 10, 2015 Friendly International
Germany vs USA
1:2
Jun 26, 2014 World Championship
USA vs Germany
0:1
Jun 2, 2013 Friendly International
USA vs Germany
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Robinson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Germany Compare

Top Goalscorer Havertz K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sane L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA 56 / 100
Germany 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA Germany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Germany conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

USA went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA VS Germany
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USA

(Home)
26 Sept
USA
4 : 1
Peru
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
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Germany

(Away)
27 Sept
Germany
0 : 1
Greece
24 Sept
Netherlands
1 : 1
Germany
29 Jun
Germany
1 : 2
Paraguay
25 Jun
Ecuador
2 : 1
Germany
20 Jun
Germany
2 : 1
Ivory Coast
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