Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USA vs Senegal

World World

Friendly International Bank of America Stadium, Charlotte, NC
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Dest S.
Assist: Pulisic C.
20' Event
Pulisic C.
Assist: Pepi R.
44' Event
Mane S.
Assist: Diarra H.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between USA and Senegal finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
USA
15%
Draws
26%
Senegal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA come out ahead of Senegal on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans USA's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
USA Clean Sheet 68%
Senegal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA Senegal
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 17 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.81 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.48 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Friendly International
USA vs Senegal
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA Compare

Top Goalscorer Dest S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pulisic C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Mane S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA 50 / 100
Senegal 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA Senegal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

USA has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Senegal registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USA VS Senegal
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USA

(Home)
07 Jul
USA
1 : 4
Belgium
02 Jul
USA
2 : 0
Bosnia & Herzegovina
26 Jun
Turkey
3 : 2
USA
19 Jun
USA
2 : 0
Australia
13 Jun
USA
4 : 1
Paraguay
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Senegal

(Away)
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
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