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USA W vs Brazil W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women 2025 PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Macario C.
24' Event
Kerolin
Assist: Gio Garbelini
36'
Sub
Bruninha In: da Silva Rosa L.
Out: Bruninha

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between USA W and Brazil W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brazil W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
USA W
15%
Draws
49%
Brazil W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Brazil W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA W come out ahead of Brazil W on wins alone.
  • 49% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
USA W Clean Sheet 17%
Brazil W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA W Brazil W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 22 19
Draws 1 2
Losses 5 7
Goals Scored 2.36 2.46
Goals Conceded 0.46 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2026 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs USA W
0:1
Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International Women
Brazil W vs USA W
2:1
Apr 9, 2025 Friendly International Women
USA W vs Brazil W
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Friendly International Women
USA W vs Brazil W
2:0
Aug 10, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Brazil W vs USA W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Macario C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Brazil W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerolin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amanda Gutierres
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA W 31 / 100
Brazil W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA W Brazil W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Brazil W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Brazil W has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

USA W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA W VS Brazil W
2.5 Goals Scored 2.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USA W

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil W
0 : 1
USA W
06 Jun
Brazil W
2 : 1
USA W
18 Apr
USA W
3 : 0
Japan W
15 Apr
USA W
0 : 1
Japan W
11 Apr
USA W
2 : 1
Japan W
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Brazil W

(Away)
10 Jun
Brazil W
0 : 1
USA W
06 Jun
Brazil W
2 : 1
USA W
19 Apr
Brazil W
1 : 0
Canada W
15 Apr
Brazil W
6 : 1
Zambia W
12 Apr
Brazil W
5 : 1
South Korea W
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