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USA W vs Dominican Republic W

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Women Dignity Health Sports Park
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Moultrie O.
Assist: Wilson S.
30' Event
Biyendolo L.
Assist: Purce M.
46'
Sub
Sonnett E. In: Fox E.
Out: Sonnett E.

AI Match Summary

The Gold Cup Women game between USA W and Dominican Republic W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USA W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
USA W
6%
Draws
90%
Dominican Republic W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Dominican Republic W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Dominican Republic W haven't matched USA W's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Dominican Republic W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Gold Cup Women game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 55%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
USA W Clean Sheet 10%
Dominican Republic W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA W Dominican Republic W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 16
Draws 1 6
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 3.5 4
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.8
Expected Goals (xG) 3.50 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.80

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2024 Gold Cup Women
USA W vs Dominican Republic W
5:0
Jan 21, 2012 Olympic Games Women
Dominican Republic W vs USA W
0:14

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USA W Compare

Top Goalscorer Moultrie O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Biyendolo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.69
Avg xA / game 1.75

Dominican Republic W Compare

Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA W 10 / 100
Dominican Republic W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA W Dominican Republic W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick DOM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USA W scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 9.50 goals when they meet.

USA W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Dominican Republic W has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA W VS Dominican Republic W
3.5 Goals Scored 4
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.8
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 80%
50% Over 3.5 60%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mexico W321010:07
2USA W32019:26
3Argentina W31113:44
4Dominican Republic W30030:160
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brazil W33007:09
2Colombia W32018:16
3Puerto Rico W31022:43
4Panama W30031:130
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Canada W330013:09
2Paraguay W32014:66
3Costa Rica W31022:43
4El Salvador W30032:110