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USA W vs Spain W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women Audi Field, Washington, DC
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USA W host Spain W in the Friendly International Women. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Spain W have shipped 0.76 goals a game lately, while USA W have conceded 0.52 and scored 2.45. Past meetings favor USA W slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2022, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.63, favoring USA W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
USA W
15%
Draws
49%
Spain W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USA W come out ahead of Spain W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Spain W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • USA W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
USA W Clean Sheet 14%
Spain W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USA W Spain W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 23 22
Draws 1 3
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 2.45 2.9
Goals Conceded 0.52 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2022 Friendly International Women
Spain W vs USA W
2:0
Mar 8, 2020 SheBelieves Cup Women
USA W vs Spain W
1:0
Jun 24, 2019 World Cup Women
Spain W vs USA W
1:2
Jan 22, 2019 Friendly International Women
Spain W vs USA W
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USA W 10 / 100
Spain W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USA W Spain W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: USA W scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.75 goals.

USA W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spain W has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

USA W VS Spain W
2.38 Goals Scored 3
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USA W

(Home)
10 Jun
Brazil W
0 : 1
USA W
06 Jun
Brazil W
2 : 1
USA W
18 Apr
USA W
3 : 0
Japan W
15 Apr
USA W
0 : 1
Japan W
11 Apr
USA W
2 : 1
Japan W
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Spain W

(Away)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Spain W
5 : 0
Ukraine W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
Ukraine W
1 : 3
Spain W
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