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USD Casatese vs Tritium

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Gomez V.
(Penalty)
59' Event
Romano A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 game between USD Casatese and Tritium finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USD Casatese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
USD Casatese
30%
Draws
16%
Tritium
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USD Casatese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USD Casatese come out ahead of Tritium on wins alone.
  • Model gives USD Casatese a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors USD Casatese here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
USD Casatese Clean Sheet 68%
Tritium Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Casatese Tritium
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 10 9
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.42 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.83 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Tritium
2:0
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs USD Casatese
1:1
Aug 6, 2023 Club Friendly
Tritium vs USD Casatese
0:1
May 16, 2021 Serie D - Group B
USD Casatese vs Tritium
2:1
Jan 31, 2021 Serie D - Group B
Tritium vs USD Casatese
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USD Casatese Compare

Top Goalscorer Romano A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.92

Tritium Compare

Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Casatese 77 / 100
Tritium 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Casatese Tritium

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USD Casatese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tritium conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

USD Casatese found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

USD Casatese went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USD Casatese VS Tritium
2 Goals Scored 1.17
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.67
50% Over 1.5 83%
50% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Casatese

(Home)
20 Sept
Correggese
1 : 3
USD Casatese
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
12 Sept
Solbiatese
0 : 0
USD Casatese
06 Sept
USD Casatese
2 : 1
Arconatese
23 Aug
Piacenza
2 : 1
USD Casatese
Page 1 of 7

Tritium

(Away)
20 Sept
Pavonese
3 : 2
Tritium
16 Sept
Tritium
1 : 1
Villa Valle
12 Sept
Brusaporto
2 : 1
Tritium
06 Sept
Tritium
1 : 2
Piacenza
14 Aug
Tritium
2 : 2
Solbiatese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Caldiero Terme 38 23 8 7 55:32 77
2 Piacenza 38 22 8 8 69:35 74
3 Pro Palazzolo 38 21 10 7 49:26 73
4 Desenzano Calvina 38 19 12 7 51:28 69
5 Varesina 38 20 8 10 73:49 68
6 Arconatese 38 21 5 12 58:38 68
7 Brusaporto 38 15 9 14 55:54 54
8 Clivense 38 14 11 13 38:47 53
9 Villa Valle 38 15 8 15 50:44 53
10 Folgore Caratese 38 11 18 9 44:45 51
11 USD Casatese 38 13 12 13 53:53 51
12 Caravaggio 38 12 10 16 44:51 46
13 Ciserano-Bergamo 38 13 6 19 49:58 45
14 Club Milano 38 11 12 15 41:44 45
15 Real Calepina 38 11 11 16 38:47 44
16 Legnano 38 11 9 18 34:50 42
17 Castellanzese 38 9 12 17 36:51 39
18 Crema 38 9 9 20 25:48 36
19 Tritium 38 6 11 21 27:57 29
20 Ponte San Pietro 38 5 9 24 31:63 24
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2023/2024 (Play Out)