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USD Ragusa vs ASD Modica Calcio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Reinero A.
10'
Hulidov T.
10'
Accetta S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
USD Ragusa
15%
Draws
76%
ASD Modica Calcio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: ASD Modica Calcio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USD Ragusa lately — more wins on the board than ASD Modica Calcio.
  • Model gives ASD Modica Calcio a 76% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group I form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 20%
ASD Modica Calcio Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Ragusa ASD Modica Calcio
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 5 3
Draws 12 1
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0.72 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.71
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs ASD Modica Calcio
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USD Ragusa Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinatra G.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

ASD Modica Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Reinero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kljajic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Ragusa 10 / 100
ASD Modica Calcio 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Ragusa ASD Modica Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ASD Modica Calcio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

USD Ragusa found the back of the net in 45% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: ASD Modica Calcio conceded in 57% of 7 recent games.

USD Ragusa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USD Ragusa VS ASD Modica Calcio
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Ragusa

(Home)
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6

ASD Modica Calcio

(Away)
07 Oct
Calcio Avola
0 : 4
ASD Modica Calcio
04 Oct
ASD Modica Calcio
3 : 0
Enna
27 Sept
Siracusa
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
20 Sept
ASD Modica Calcio
1 : 0
Castrumfavara
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0
ASD Modica Calcio
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)