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USD Ragusa vs Canicatti - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Meneses S.
70' Event
Sidibe A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between USD Ragusa and Canicatti finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Canicatti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
USD Ragusa
20%
Draws
73%
Canicatti
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Canicatti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and USD Ragusa come out ahead of Canicatti on wins alone.
  • Model gives Canicatti a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 24%
Canicatti Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Ragusa Canicatti
Matches Played 41 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 16 4
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.68
Goals Conceded 1 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs USD Ragusa
3:1
Oct 4, 2023 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Canicatti
0:2
Feb 19, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Canicatti vs USD Ragusa
0:0
Oct 19, 2022 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Canicatti
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USD Ragusa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Canicatti Compare

Top Goalscorer Meneses S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sidibe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Ragusa 10 / 100
Canicatti 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Ragusa Canicatti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canicatti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Canicatti let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

USD Ragusa scored in 59% of their last 41 games.

USD Ragusa went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

USD Ragusa VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Ragusa

(Home)
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
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Canicatti

(Away)
05 May
Canicatti
4 : 2
San Luca
21 Apr
Canicatti
5 : 0
AS Acireale
14 Apr
Reggina
5 : 0
Canicatti
07 Apr
Canicatti
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
28 Mar
Sancataldese
0 : 0
Canicatti
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)