Sport Picks
Match Events
44'
44'
Sinatra G.
80'
80'
Spano D.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between USD Ragusa and Lamezia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
35%
43%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lamezia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
22%
/ Low Confidence
- Lamezia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 22% — that's where the model lands on USD Ragusa taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 68%
Lamezia Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USD Ragusa | Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 7 | 8 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Lamezia
1:1
Mar 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Lamezia
1:1
Nov 9, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Lamezia vs USD Ragusa
4:0
Mar 26, 2005 Serie C2/C
USD Ragusa vs Lamezia
0:0
Nov 21, 2004 Serie C2/C
Lamezia vs USD Ragusa
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USD Ragusa Compare
Top Goalscorer Sinatra G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Lamezia Compare
Top Goalscorer Spano D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USD Ragusa 50 / 100
Lamezia 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USD Ragusa Lamezia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USD Ragusa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lamezia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.
Recent resilience: USD Ragusa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
USD Ragusa scored in 52% of their last 29 games.
Scoring Trends
USD Ragusa VS Lamezia
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
USD Ragusa
(Home) 16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1 Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1 USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2 ASD Modica Calcio
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 ACR Messina
03 May
USD Ragusa
1 : 2 Athletic Palermo
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1 Lamezia
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2 ASD Modica Calcio
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 ACR Messina
03 May
USD Ragusa
1 : 2 Athletic Palermo
19 Apr
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 Sancataldese
Page 1 of 3
Lamezia
(Away) 16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1 Lamezia
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2 Igea Virtus
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1 Lamezia
03 May
Lamezia
4 : 1 Igea Virtus
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1 Lamezia
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1 Lamezia
06 Sept
Nissa
3 : 1 Lamezia
26 Apr
Sancataldese
1 : 1 Lamezia
15 Apr
Milazzo
0 : 0 Lamezia
22 Mar
USD Ragusa
1 : 1 Lamezia
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
