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USD Ragusa vs Nissa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

USD Ragusa host Nissa in the Serie D - Group I. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: USD Ragusa at 0.83 goals for, 0.93 against; Nissa at 1.7 for, 0.91 against. Past meetings favor USD Ragusa slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.69, favoring Nissa. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
USD Ragusa
30%
Draws
58%
Nissa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nissa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • USD Ragusa haven't matched Nissa's recent run of results.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 13%
Nissa Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USD Ragusa Nissa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 18
Draws 12 10
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 0.83 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs USD Ragusa
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Nissa
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Nissa
3:1
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Nissa vs USD Ragusa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USD Ragusa 35 / 100
Nissa 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USD Ragusa Nissa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nissa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USD Ragusa found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Nissa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

USD Ragusa has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USD Ragusa VS Nissa
0.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

USD Ragusa

(Home)
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
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Nissa

(Away)
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Nissa
0 : 2
Vibonese
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Nissa
2 : 0
Trapani
13 Sept
Licata
1 : 1
Nissa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)