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USFAS Bamako vs Real Bamako

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako Logo

USFAS Bamako

2 - 1
FT
Real Bamako Logo

Real Bamako

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

USFAS Bamako in this Premiere Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored USFAS Bamako.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
USFAS Bamako
30%
Draws
43%
Real Bamako
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Real Bamako

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Real Bamako have won more games recently than USFAS Bamako.
  • Real Bamako are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 23%
Real Bamako Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFAS Bamako Real Bamako
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 14 17
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.52 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.19 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Real Bamako
2:1
Dec 20, 2025 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs USFAS Bamako
2:0
Mar 9, 2025 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Real Bamako
2:1
Nov 24, 2024 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs USFAS Bamako
0:0
May 16, 2024 Premiere Division
Real Bamako vs USFAS Bamako
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFAS Bamako 29 / 100
Real Bamako 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFAS Bamako Real Bamako

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Bamako Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

USFAS Bamako has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Real Bamako let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

USFAS Bamako VS Real Bamako
1.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 13%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

USFAS Bamako

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
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Real Bamako

(Away)
11 Sept
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Vitesse
06 Sept
Vitesse
1 : 2
Real Bamako
13 Jun
Real Bamako
4 : 0
Bougouba
09 Jun
Djoliba
0 : 1
Real Bamako
05 Jun
Real Bamako
0 : 0
Foot Elite
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
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