Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USFAS Bamako vs Stade Malien

Mali Mali

Premiere Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premiere Division game between USFAS Bamako and Stade Malien finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stade Malien.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
USFAS Bamako
20%
Draws
47%
Stade Malien
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stade Malien

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stade Malien come out ahead of USFAS Bamako on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premiere Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
USFAS Bamako Clean Sheet 10%
Stade Malien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USFAS Bamako Stade Malien
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs USFAS Bamako
2:2
Feb 19, 2026 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Stade Malien
0:1
Apr 19, 2025 Premiere Division
Stade Malien vs USFAS Bamako
2:0
Dec 31, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Stade Malien
0:2
Feb 4, 2024 Premiere Division
USFAS Bamako vs Stade Malien
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USFAS Bamako 30 / 100
Stade Malien 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USFAS Bamako Stade Malien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stade Malien Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USFAS Bamako scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

USFAS Bamako has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Stade Malien has conceded goals in 37% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

USFAS Bamako VS Stade Malien
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USFAS Bamako

(Home)
14 Jun
USFAS Bamako
2 : 1
Mali Coura
09 Jun
US Bougouni
2 : 1
USFAS Bamako
04 Jun
USFAS Bamako
3 : 0
Onze Createurs
31 May
Stade Malien
2 : 2
USFAS Bamako
25 May
USFAS Bamako
0 : 2
Bougouba
Page 1 of 6

Stade Malien

(Away)
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
13 Jun
Diarra
0 : 2
Stade Malien
09 Jun
Stade Malien
2 : 1
Binga
04 Jun
Bakaridjan
0 : 2
Stade Malien
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Djoliba 26 18 5 3 41:12 59
2 Stade Malien 26 14 8 4 28:15 50
3 Real Bamako 26 14 7 5 32:14 49
4 Diarra 26 13 5 8 32:24 44
5 Binga 26 12 7 7 28:15 43
6 USFAS Bamako 26 12 6 8 37:27 42
7 Korofina 26 9 6 11 28:31 33
8 Bougouba 26 8 7 11 21:34 31
9 Derby Academie 26 5 14 7 19:22 29
10 Bakaridjan 26 6 9 11 20:27 27
11 Foot Elite 26 7 6 13 23:38 27
12 Onze Createurs 26 6 8 12 16:24 26
13 Mali Coura 26 4 8 14 20:31 20
14 US Bougouni 26 4 4 18 12:43 16
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)