Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad

Algeria Algeria

Algeria Cup Nelson Mandela Stadium, Baraki
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kamagate D.
44' Event
Khaldi A.
46'
Sub
Belkhir M. In: Boukerchaoui B.
Out: Belkhir M.

AI Match Summary

USM Alger in this Algeria Cup tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
USM Alger
40%
Draws
29%
CR Belouizdad
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CR Belouizdad lately — more wins on the board than USM Alger.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • CR Belouizdad arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor USM Alger, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
USM Alger Clean Sheet 16%
CR Belouizdad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Alger CR Belouizdad
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 12 10
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 2, 2026 Ligue 1
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
1:1
Apr 30, 2026 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Ligue 1
CR Belouizdad vs USM Alger
0:0
Jul 5, 2025 Algeria Cup
USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
2:0
Mar 16, 2025 Ligue 1
CR Belouizdad vs USM Alger
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USM Alger Compare

Top Goalscorer Kamagate D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khaldi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

CR Belouizdad Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouassa Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Alger 31 / 100
CR Belouizdad 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Alger CR Belouizdad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

USM Alger scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

USM Alger went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

CR Belouizdad has conceded goals in 55% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

USM Alger VS CR Belouizdad
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Alger

(Home)
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
04 Jun
ES Ben Aknoun
2 : 2
USM Alger
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
30 May
Rouisset
1 : 0
USM Alger
25 May
Khenchela
2 : 1
USM Alger
Page 1 of 7

CR Belouizdad

(Away)
05 Jun
Kabylie
0 : 0
CR Belouizdad
02 Jun
USM Alger
1 : 1
CR Belouizdad
24 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
ES Ben Aknoun
20 May
CR Belouizdad
3 : 1
Oran
16 May
ES Setif
3 : 1
CR Belouizdad
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
CA Batna2
Annaba1
Kolea1
Bordj Menail0
Paradou3
Adrar0
USF Constantine4
Metlili Chaamba2
Frenda2
Mila1
ASO Chlef1
Sidi Abdelmoumen0
MB Barika1
Marsa El Hadjadj0
Saida3
Telaghema0
MO Bejaia1
Harrach2
Kabylie7
MB Hassi Messaoud0
Magra0
USM Alger1
MO Constantine3
Kais1
Sidi Ali Boussidi0
Arba1
Oran1
Mostaganem2
Bethioua0
Saoura1
Khroub2
Olympique Akbou0
Constantine4
JS El Biar1
CR Temouchent1
Hamaissa0
Bechar Djedid4
GC Mascara3
ES Setif1
Beni Thamou0
Tessala0
Bejaia1
Widad Adabi de Boufarik3
Naama0
Beni Oulbane0
Amal Bou Saada1
Hussein Dey3
Sedrata0
Wifaq Ain Benian2
SC Mecheria1
CR Belouizdad2
Oued Fodda1
Ain Kercha1
Illizi0
Beni Thour1
ASM Oran2
MC Alger1
El Bayadh0
Khenchela1
Rouisset0
ES Ben Aknoun2
RA Ain Defla0
ESF Bir El Ater2
Kadiria0
1/16-finals
CA Batna5
Kolea1
Paradou2
USF Constantine0
Frenda0
ASO Chlef1
MB Barika1
Saida2
Harrach1
Kabylie0
USM Alger3
MO Constantine0
Arba0
Mostaganem1
Saoura2
Khroub0
Constantine3
CR Temouchent0
Bechar Djedid0
ES Setif4
Bejaia4
Widad Adabi de Boufarik1
Amal Bou Saada0
Hussein Dey1
Wifaq Ain Benian1
CR Belouizdad5
Ain Kercha0
ASM Oran2
MC Alger2
Khenchela1
ES Ben Aknoun2
ESF Bir El Ater0
1/8-finals
CA Batna4
Paradou3
ASO Chlef0
Saida1
Harrach2
USM Alger3
Mostaganem0
Saoura2
Constantine2
ES Setif1
Bejaia3
Hussein Dey0
CR Belouizdad3
ASM Oran0
MC Alger1
ES Ben Aknoun0
Quarter-finals
CA Batna1
Saida0
USM Alger1
Saoura0
Constantine1
Bejaia0
CR Belouizdad3
MC Alger2
Semi-finals
CA Batna1
USM Alger3
Constantine2
CR Belouizdad3
Final
USM Alger2
CR Belouizdad1