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USM Oujda vs Amal Tiznit

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Botola 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
USM Oujda
30%
Draws
31%
Amal Tiznit
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Amal Tiznit average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of USM Oujda's 1.03.
  • Model gives USM Oujda a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
Amal Tiznit Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Amal Tiznit
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 18
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Amal Tiznit
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Botola 2
Amal Tiznit vs USM Oujda
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 51 / 100
Amal Tiznit 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Amal Tiznit

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: USM Oujda remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: USM Oujda scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Amal Tiznit conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Amal Tiznit
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Oujda

(Home)
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
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Amal Tiznit

(Away)
02 Oct
FUS Rabat
0 : 1
Amal Tiznit
24 Sept
Amal Tiznit
1 : 3
IR Tanger
21 Jul
Dcheira
1 : 1
Amal Tiznit
18 Jul
Amal Tiznit
0 : 0
Dcheira
05 Jul
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
0 : 1
Amal Tiznit
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
Promotion - Botola Pro (Main)
Promotion - Botola Pro 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)