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USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mouloudia Oujda in this Botola 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mouloudia Oujda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
USM Oujda
33%
Draws
27%
Mouloudia Oujda
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USM Oujda lately — more wins on the board than Mouloudia Oujda.
  • Win probability leans USM Oujda's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
Mouloudia Oujda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Mouloudia Oujda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 8
Draws 10 13
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs USM Oujda
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda
0:3
May 3, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda
0:0
Dec 28, 2024 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs USM Oujda
0:0
Jan 28, 2018 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda
3:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 50 / 100
Mouloudia Oujda 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Mouloudia Oujda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouloudia Oujda let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

USM Oujda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: USM Oujda scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Mouloudia Oujda
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Moghreb Tetouan301411533:2253
2Widad Temara301314336:2653
3Amal Tiznit301016436:2646
4Jeunesse Massira301111829:2144
5Chabab Atlas Khenifra301110926:2443
6Jeunesse Sportive Soualem301012837:3542
7Stade Marocain301181123:2441
8Wydad Fes309111034:3038
9Mouloudia Oujda30813935:3837
10Chabab Benguerir30813925:2837
11USM Oujda309101129:3037
12Chabab Mohammedia30991225:3736
13KAC Kenitra308121035:3636
14US Boujaad30714925:2235
15Raja Beni Mellal307111225:3232
16RAC Casablanca30391821:4318