Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda

Morocco Morocco

Botola 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mouloudia Oujda in this Botola 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mouloudia Oujda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
USM Oujda
35%
Draws
15%
Mouloudia Oujda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: USM Oujda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to USM Oujda lately — more wins on the board than Mouloudia Oujda.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Botola 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%
Mouloudia Oujda Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USM Oujda Mouloudia Oujda
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 13
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.06 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda
2:1
Jun 6, 2026 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs USM Oujda
2:1
Dec 6, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda
0:3
May 3, 2025 Botola 2
USM Oujda vs Mouloudia Oujda
0:0
Dec 28, 2024 Botola 2
Mouloudia Oujda vs USM Oujda
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 41 / 100
Mouloudia Oujda 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USM Oujda Mouloudia Oujda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USM Oujda Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mouloudia Oujda let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

USM Oujda's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

USM Oujda has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Mouloudia Oujda
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USM Oujda

(Home)
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Widad Temara
0 : 1
USM Oujda
27 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
20 Jun
Jeunesse Sportive Soualem
2 : 0
USM Oujda
13 Jun
USM Oujda
1 : 0
US Boujaad
Page 1 of 7

Mouloudia Oujda

(Away)
27 Sept
USM Oujda
2 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
05 Jul
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Wydad Fes
27 Jun
Amal Tiznit
1 : 1
Mouloudia Oujda
20 Jun
Mouloudia Oujda
1 : 1
Chabab Benguerir
14 Jun
KAC Kenitra
1 : 0
Mouloudia Oujda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Moghreb Tetouan 30 14 11 5 33:22 53
2 Widad Temara 30 13 14 3 36:26 53
3 Amal Tiznit 30 10 16 4 36:26 46
4 Jeunesse Massira 30 11 11 8 29:21 44
5 Chabab Atlas Khenifra 30 11 10 9 26:24 43
6 Jeunesse Sportive Soualem 30 10 12 8 37:35 42
7 Stade Marocain 30 11 8 11 23:24 41
8 Wydad Fes 30 9 11 10 34:30 38
9 Mouloudia Oujda 30 8 13 9 35:38 37
10 Chabab Benguerir 30 8 13 9 25:28 37
11 USM Oujda 30 9 10 11 29:30 37
12 Chabab Mohammedia 30 9 9 12 25:37 36
13 KAC Kenitra 30 8 12 10 35:36 36
14 US Boujaad 30 7 14 9 25:22 35
15 Raja Beni Mellal 30 7 11 12 25:32 32
16 RAC Casablanca 30 3 9 18 21:43 18
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Relegation - Botola 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)