Sport Picks

Morocco

Botola 2

USM Oujda

3 - 0

Raja Beni Mellal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Botola 2 game between USM Oujda and Raja Beni Mellal finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USM Oujda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

USM Oujda

40%

Draws

29%

Raja Beni Mellal

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

USM Oujda carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Botola 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%

USM Oujda Clean Sheet 68%

Raja Beni Mellal Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	USM Oujda	Raja Beni Mellal
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	7
Draws	10	11
Losses	11	12
Goals Scored	0.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.13	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Botola 2

USM Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal

Possession: 45% - 54% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Oct 12, 2025 Botola 2

Raja Beni Mellal vs USM Oujda

Possession: 46% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

0:0

Apr 24, 2025 Botola 2

USM Oujda vs Raja Beni Mellal

Possession: 51% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

0:4

Dec 14, 2024 Botola 2

Raja Beni Mellal vs USM Oujda

Possession: 46% - 57% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

May 20, 2024 Botola 2

Raja Beni Mellal vs USM Oujda

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USM Oujda 42 / 100

Raja Beni Mellal 40 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

USM Oujda Raja Beni Mellal

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Raja Beni Mellal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

USM Oujda went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

USM Oujda scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

USM Oujda VS Raja Beni Mellal

0.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 88%

25% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Moghreb Tetouan	30	14	11	5	33:22	53
2	Widad Temara	30	13	14	3	36:26	53
3	Amal Tiznit	30	10	16	4	36:26	46
4	Jeunesse Massira	30	11	11	8	29:21	44
5	Chabab Atlas Khenifra	30	11	10	9	26:24	43
6	Jeunesse Sportive Soualem	30	10	12	8	37:35	42
7	Stade Marocain	30	11	8	11	23:24	41
8	Wydad Fes	30	9	11	10	34:30	38
9	Mouloudia Oujda	30	8	13	9	35:38	37
10	Chabab Benguerir	30	8	13	9	25:28	37
11	USM Oujda	30	9	10	11	29:30	37
12	Chabab Mohammedia	30	9	9	12	25:37	36
13	KAC Kenitra	30	8	12	10	35:36	36
14	US Boujaad	30	7	14	9	25:22	35
15	Raja Beni Mellal	30	7	11	12	25:32	32
16	RAC Casablanca	30	3	9	18	21:43	18