Sport Picks
USM Senlis vs Le Portel - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
France
Coupe de France 2019/2020 
Match Events
23'
23'
Delpierre T.
53'
53'
Spetebroot S.
81'
81'
Rochoy M.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Le Portel advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USM Senlis
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Le Portel come out ahead of USM Senlis on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on USM Senlis taking it.
- Le Portel arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Le Portel, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
USM Senlis Clean Sheet 15%
Le Portel Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USM Senlis | Le Portel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 3 | 6 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.4 | 1.42 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.6 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.26 | 1.55 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 8, 2019 Coupe de France
USM Senlis vs Le Portel
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USM Senlis Compare
Avg xG / game 0.97
Avg xA / game 0.63
Le Portel Compare
Top Goalscorer Spetebroot S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.41
Avg xA / game 0.86
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USM Senlis 35 / 100
Le Portel 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USM Senlis Le Portel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USM Senlis's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 5 recent games.
USM Senlis has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Le Portel conceded in 58% of 12 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
USM Senlis VS Le Portel
1.4 Goals Scored 1.5
1.6 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 63%
80% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
USM Senlis
(Home) 08 Dec
USM Senlis
0 : 1 Le Portel
17 Nov
Pont Sainte Maxence
1 : 2 USM Senlis
07 Jan
USM Senlis
0 : 4 Nantes
03 Dec
USM Senlis
3 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
19 Nov
USM Senlis
2 : 1 Vimy
08 Dec
USM Senlis
0 : 1 Le Portel
07 Jan
USM Senlis
0 : 4 Nantes
03 Dec
USM Senlis
3 : 1 Choisy Au Bac
19 Nov
USM Senlis
2 : 1 Vimy
Le Portel
(Away) 04 Jan
Le Portel
1 : 4 Strasbourg
08 Dec
USM Senlis
0 : 1 Le Portel
17 Nov
Verton
0 : 3 Le Portel
03 Dec
Le Portel
0 : 1 AC Ajaccio
13 Nov
Le Portel
3 : 0 Avion
Page 1 of 3
08 Dec
USM Senlis
0 : 1 Le Portel
17 Nov
Verton
0 : 3 Le Portel
17 Nov
Saint-Pryve
3 : 0 Le Portel
06 Jan
Meaux
1 : 0 Le Portel
18 Nov
Enquin Les Mines
0 : 6 Le Portel
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
US Vandoeuvre 2
Luneville 0
Football Avenir de Theix 2
Red Star 3
Lons 1
Annecy 2
Beauvais 1
Chambly 4
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Grenoble 1
Ales 1
Lattes 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nice -
Saint-Jean 0
Bayonne 1
Liguaire Niort 1
Fontenay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nantes -
Rivieres 3
Chassieu Decines 1
Troyes 0
Bourg Peronnas 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lyon -
Montlouis 1
AF Virois 2
Sainte-Marienne 2
Versailles 3
CEP Lorient 1
Plabennec 3
Granville 2
Caennaise 0
Bergerac 1
Clermont 0
Trelissac 2
Stade Montois 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marseille -
La Baule 0
Angouleme CFC 1
Saint-Flour 3
AC Ajaccio 1
Challans 3
Le Poire Sur Vie 0
Rodeo 0
Colomiers 1
Pont Sainte Maxence 1
USM Senlis 2
Verton 0
Le Portel 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Hombourg-Haut 1
Forbach 0
Charitoise 0
Auxerre 4
Prix les Mezieres 2
Wasquehal 0
Cambrai 0
Quevilly 1
Annecy-le-Vieux 0
Limonest 4
Bourgoin Jallieu 0
Villefranche 2
Saint-Galmier 0
St-Etienne Cote Chaude 1
EUGA Ardziv 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Tourcoing 5
Calais Pascal 0
St Maximin 0
Valenciennes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dijon -
Tours 2
Chauray 0
Franciscain 1
Golden Star 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nimes -
Bourges 1
Sable 2
CS Betton Football 0
Concarneau 6
Albi-Marssac 2
Saint-Medard 1
Alberes Argeles 0
Pau 1
Bordeaux -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
JS Sireuil 1
Les Herbiers 7
CSM Gennevilliers 0
Le Mans 2
Dinan 0
Stade Pontivyen 1
Lorient 3
Guingamp 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brest -
La Fleche 2
Linas-Montlhery 3
Evreux 3
Mtsapere 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSG -
Olympique Marcquois 0
IC Croix 1
Sainte-Genevieve 0
Sannois 1
Sundhoffen 0
Mulhouse 3
Epinal 2
Sochaux 0
U.S. Mozac 2
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 3
Chateauroux 1
Niort 2
Jura Sud 0
Saint-Pierroise 1
Erstein 0
Thaon 2
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 4
TA Rennes 0
Montagnarde 1
Stade Briochin 2
Gonfreville 1
Le Touquet 0
Sarre Union 0
Creteil 2
Oberschaeffolsheim 1
Raon L Etape 3
CA Boulay 2
Meaux 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lille -
Saint Georges 2
Cayenne 1
Moulins-Yzeure 1
Saint-Pryve 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Toulouse -
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
ES Chilly 1
Hauts Lyonnais 0
AS-Fabregues 3
Agde 1
Olympique de Valence 3
Thonon-Evian 1
Amneville 0
Paris FC 2
ES Nanterre 2
Laval 0
US Noeux Les Mines 0
Borgo 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
St Etienne -
Moulien 0
Jeunesse 2
Belfort 1
GFC Ajaccio 0
Montceau 4
Geispolsheim 2
Venus 1
Besancon RC 4
Adamois 2
St Quentin 3
Olympique Lumbrois 3
Grande-Synthe 4
Pierrots Vauban 3
Hienghene Sport 1
Belfort Sud 1
Nancy 2
Reims Ste Anne 1
Cormontreuil 0
Le Havre 1
Dunkerque 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Montpellier -
F.C. Guichen 2
Saint-Pierre Milizac 1
Le Rheu 4
Paimpol 3
Ancienne Chateau-Gontier 0
Chartres 1
ASI Murs-Erigne 0
Caen 6
Saint-Omer 0
Dieppe 1
Lens 3
Boulogne 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Angers -
Gravelines 2
Rouen 3
Villemomble 1
Orleans 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Metz -
RC Grasse 2
Marseille Endoume 0
FC Lyon 0
Athletico Marseille 1
Stade Poitevin 5
FC Nueillaubiers 0
Auch 0
Rodez 5
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
1/64-finals
US Vandoeuvre 2
Red Star 3
Annecy 1
Chambly 2
Frejus Saint Raphael 2
Ales 1
TBD -
Nice -
Bayonne 4
Fontenay 1
TBD -
Nantes -
Rivieres 0
Bourg Peronnas 2
TBD -
Lyon -
AF Virois 0
Versailles 3
Plabennec 0
Granville 2
Bergerac 0
Trelissac 1
TBD -
Marseille -
Angouleme CFC 5
Saint-Flour 1
Challans 2
Colomiers 1
USM Senlis 0
Le Portel 1
TBD -
Strasbourg -
Hombourg-Haut 2
Auxerre 1
Prix les Mezieres 3
Quevilly 1
Limonest 2
Villefranche 1
St-Etienne Cote Chaude 0
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Tourcoing 1
Valenciennes 2
TBD -
Dijon -
Tours 2
Franciscain 1
TBD -
Nimes -
Sable 2
Concarneau 0
Albi-Marssac 1
Pau 4
Bordeaux -
TBD -
Les Herbiers 1
Le Mans 2
Stade Pontivyen 0
Lorient 1
TBD -
Brest -
Linas-Montlhery 3
Evreux 1
TBD -
PSG -
IC Croix 0
Sannois 1
Mulhouse 2
Epinal 3
FC Cournon d'Auvergne 0
Niort 2
Saint-Pierroise 2
Thaon 1
Voltigeurs de Chateaubriant 0
Stade Briochin 1
Gonfreville 5
Creteil 2
Raon L Etape 6
CA Boulay 2
TBD -
Lille -
Saint Georges 0
Saint-Pryve 6
TBD -
Toulouse -
Monaco -
TBD -
TBD -
Reims -
ES Chilly 0
AS-Fabregues 1
Olympique de Valence 0
Paris FC 1
ES Nanterre 1
Borgo 2
TBD -
St Etienne -
Jeunesse 0
Belfort 2
Montceau 3
Besancon RC 0
St Quentin 1
Grande-Synthe 3
Pierrots Vauban 1
Nancy 3
Reims Ste Anne 1
Dunkerque 0
TBD -
Montpellier -
F.C. Guichen 2
Le Rheu 1
Chartres 0
Caen 1
Dieppe 2
Lens 1
TBD -
Angers -
Rouen 1
Orleans 0
TBD -
Metz -
RC Grasse 1
Athletico Marseille 2
Stade Poitevin 1
Rodez 3
Rennes -
TBD -
TBD -
Amiens SC -
1/32-finals
Red Star 2
Chambly 1
Frejus Saint Raphael 0
Nice 2
Bayonne 0
Nantes 2
Bourg Peronnas 0
Lyon 7
Versailles 1
Granville 2
Trelissac 1
Marseille 2
Angouleme CFC 3
Challans 1
Le Portel 1
Strasbourg 4
Hombourg-Haut 0
Prix les Mezieres 3
Limonest 2
Le Puy-en-Velay 1
Valenciennes 1
Dijon 2
Tours 2
Nimes 3
Sable 2
Pau 3
Bordeaux 2
Le Mans 0
Lorient 2
Brest 1
Linas-Montlhery 0
PSG 6
Sannois 0
Epinal 1
Niort 1
Saint-Pierroise 2
Stade Briochin 1
Gonfreville 2
Raon L Etape 2
Lille 3
Saint-Pryve 1
Toulouse 0
Monaco 2
Reims 1
AS-Fabregues 0
Paris FC 2
Borgo 0
St Etienne 3
Belfort 3
Montceau 0
Grande-Synthe 0
Nancy 1
Reims Ste Anne 0
Montpellier 1
F.C. Guichen 1
Caen 2
Dieppe 1
Angers 3
Rouen 3
Metz 0
Athletico Marseille 2
Rodez 1
Rennes 1
Amiens SC 0
1/16-finals
Red Star 1
Nice 2
Nantes 3
Lyon 4
Granville 0
Marseille 3
Angouleme CFC 1
Strasbourg 5
Prix les Mezieres 0
Limonest 1
Dijon 5
Nimes 0
Pau 3
Bordeaux 2
Lorient 0
PSG 1
Epinal 1
Saint-Pierroise 0
Gonfreville 0
Lille 2
Saint-Pryve 1
Monaco 3
Paris FC 2
St Etienne 3
Belfort 3
Nancy 1
Montpellier 5
Caen 0
Angers 4
Rouen 1
Athletico Marseille 0
Rennes 2
1/8-finals
Nice 1
Lyon 2
Marseille 3
Strasbourg 1
Limonest 1
Dijon 2
Pau 0
PSG 2
Epinal 2
Lille 1
Monaco 0
St Etienne 1
Belfort 1
Montpellier 0
Angers 4
Rennes 5
Quarter-finals
Lyon 1
Marseille 0
Dijon 1
PSG 6
Epinal 1
St Etienne 2
Belfort 0
Rennes 3
Semi-finals
Lyon 1
PSG 5
St Etienne 2
Rennes 1
Final
PSG 1
St Etienne 0
