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Usti nad Orlici B vs Moravska Trebova

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Pardubicky KP 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Usti nad Orlici B play Moravska Trebova in the Pardubicky KP 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Usti nad Orlici B averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Moravska Trebova averaged 1.57 goals scored and 2.33 conceded. In past meetings, Usti nad Orlici B won 3, Moravska Trebova won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 8, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Usti nad Orlici B and 1.75 for Moravska Trebova. This points to a Usti nad Orlici B double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Usti nad Orlici B
15%
Draws
30%
Moravska Trebova
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Usti nad Orlici B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

81% / High Confidence
  • Usti nad Orlici B picked up more points recently compared to Moravska Trebova.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Usti nad Orlici B Clean Sheet 12%
Moravska Trebova Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usti nad Orlici B Moravska Trebova
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 2.13 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Pardubicky KP
Usti nad Orlici B vs Moravska Trebova
5:0
Aug 10, 2025 Pardubicky KP
Moravska Trebova vs Usti nad Orlici B
2:4
Jun 14, 2025 Pardubicky KP
Moravska Trebova vs Usti nad Orlici B
3:2
Nov 17, 2024 Pardubicky KP
Usti nad Orlici B vs Moravska Trebova
3:0
May 8, 2024 1. A trida (PAK)
Usti nad Orlici B vs Moravska Trebova
1:5

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usti nad Orlici B 52 / 100
Moravska Trebova 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usti nad Orlici B Moravska Trebova

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Usti nad Orlici B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Usti nad Orlici B & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.1%
2.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Usti nad Orlici B attacking → ← attacking Moravska Trebova

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Usti nad Orlici B scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Moravska Trebova let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Usti nad Orlici B went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Moravska Trebova lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 28
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38