Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Usti nad Orlici vs Velvary

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 Stadion TJ Jiskra
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Hronek P.
43' Event
Sladovnik F.
46'
Chleboun P.

AI Match Summary

The 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 game between Usti nad Orlici and Velvary finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Velvary.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Usti nad Orlici
6%
Draws
4%
Velvary
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Usti nad Orlici

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Usti nad Orlici haven't matched Velvary's recent run of results.
  • Usti nad Orlici are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 3. CFL - Group B 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Usti nad Orlici Clean Sheet 10%
Velvary Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Usti nad Orlici Velvary
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 3
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 3. CFL - Group B
Usti nad Orlici vs Velvary
1:2
Aug 9, 2025 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Usti nad Orlici
1:2
Jun 11, 2022 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Usti nad Orlici
1:1
Oct 30, 2021 3. CFL - Group B
Usti nad Orlici vs Velvary
0:2
Jun 19, 2021 3. CFL - Group B
Velvary vs Usti nad Orlici
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Usti nad Orlici Compare

Top Goalscorer Silva L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Velvary Compare

Top Goalscorer Sladovnik F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zeman M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Usti nad Orlici 83 / 100
Velvary 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Usti nad Orlici Velvary

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UST Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Velvary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

Usti nad Orlici's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Usti nad Orlici stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Usti nad Orlici VS Velvary
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FK Ceska Lipa32291286:2488
2Zapy32235472:2774
3Banik Most-Sous32204860:3464
4Hradec Kralove B32194970:4761
5Teplice B321481046:4250
6Benatky n. Jiz.321281259:5444
7Pardubice B321271369:5743
8Jablonec B321161549:6239
9Mlada Boleslav B321081439:5038
10Liberec B321071572:6437
11Varnsdorf321071546:6537
12Neratovice32991444:6636
13Brozany328101438:5834
14Velke Hamry327101545:5731
15Usti nad Orlici327101535:5531
16Velvary32742146:8225
17Kolin324121636:6824