Sport Picks
Ustrem Donchevo vs Botev Novi Pazar
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
Match Events
No DataNo live events recorded yet.
AI Match Summary
Ustrem Donchevo host Botev Novi Pazar in the Third League - North-East. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Ustrem Donchevo at 1.75 goals for, 2.13 against; Botev Novi Pazar at 1.75 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Ustrem Donchevo have won 2 to Botev Novi Pazar's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 4, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.63 - 1.94) back Ustrem Donchevo to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ustrem Donchevo has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Botev Novi Pazar.
- Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Ustrem Donchevo.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - North-East provide steady trend data.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ustrem Donchevo | Botev Novi Pazar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 8 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.13 | 1.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ustrem Donchevo scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Botev Novi Pazar let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Ustrem Donchevo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Botev Novi Pazar lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |