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Ustrem Donchevo vs Dunav Ruse II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2024/2025
Sun, Nov 17, 2024
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ustrem Donchevo host Dunav Ruse II in the Third League - North-East 2024/2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Dunav Ruse II have shipped 2.86 goals a game lately, while Ustrem Donchevo have conceded 2.13 and scored 2.1. Head-to-head, Ustrem Donchevo have won 0 to Dunav Ruse II's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Nov 17, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.54 vs 1.50, favoring Ustrem Donchevo. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ustrem Donchevo
15%
Draws
64%
Dunav Ruse II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dunav Ruse II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ustrem Donchevo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dunav Ruse II's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Ustrem Donchevo Clean Sheet 16%
Dunav Ruse II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ustrem Donchevo Dunav Ruse II
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 12 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.1 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Dunav Ruse II
0:0
Mar 24, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Dunav Ruse II
2:2
Sep 24, 2023 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Ustrem Donchevo
2:0
Apr 9, 2023 Third League - North-East
Ustrem Donchevo vs Dunav Ruse II
1:1
Oct 9, 2022 Third League - North-East
Dunav Ruse II vs Ustrem Donchevo
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ustrem Donchevo 19 / 100
Dunav Ruse II 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ustrem Donchevo Dunav Ruse II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dunav Ruse II Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ustrem Donchevo found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Dunav Ruse II's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 14 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Dunav Ruse II's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ustrem Donchevo VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ustrem Donchevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
20 Sept
Benkovski
3 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
12 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
2 : 4
Volov Shumen
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

Dunav Ruse II

(Away)
29 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 3
Spartak Varna II
25 May
Cherno More II
3 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
11 May
Svetkavitsa
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse II
01 May
Dorostol
2 : 0
Dunav Ruse II
28 Apr
Dunav Ruse II
6 : 0
Kubrat
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Septemvri Tervel 30 24 3 3 73:18 75
2 Chernolomets 30 22 3 5 69:25 69
3 Volov Shumen 30 21 3 6 66:26 66
4 Chernomorets Balchik 30 18 7 5 52:16 61
5 Ludogorets III 30 18 6 6 72:21 60
6 Cherno More II 30 14 7 9 42:31 49
7 Spartak Varna II 30 12 9 9 49:29 45
8 Aksakovo 30 12 6 12 50:48 42
9 Dorostol 30 11 7 12 36:36 40
10 Benkovski 30 11 6 13 55:46 39
11 FK Riltzi 30 7 10 13 47:54 31
12 Ustrem Donchevo 30 8 7 15 38:68 31
13 Svetkavitsa 30 6 6 18 31:66 24
14 Botev Novi Pazar 30 6 4 20 29:68 22
15 Fratria II 30 6 3 21 32:88 21
16 Kubrat 30 0 1 29 11:112 1
17 Dunav Ruse II 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
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