Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
USV Hercules in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored USV Hercules.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
15%
65%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior 31
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- USV Hercules haven't matched Excelsior 31's recent run of results.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Excelsior 31 taking it.
- Regular Derde Divisie 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%
Excelsior 31 Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USV Hercules | Excelsior 31 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 13 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 2.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.93 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Excelsior 31
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs USV Hercules
3:0
Feb 8, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs Excelsior 31
1:1
Sep 14, 2024 Derde Divisie
Excelsior 31 vs USV Hercules
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USV Hercules 10 / 100
Excelsior 31 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USV Hercules Excelsior 31
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Excelsior 31 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USV Hercules's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Excelsior 31's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
USV Hercules went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
USV Hercules VS Excelsior 31
1.25 Goals Scored 2.63
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
USV Hercules
(Home) 20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
29 Aug
Harkemase Boys
5 : 3 USV Hercules
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20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4 Genemuiden
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0 Harkemase Boys
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Excelsior 31
(Away) 26 Sept
Excelsior 31
3 : 0 VV DOVO
22 Sept
Excelsior 31
4 : 3 Alkmaarse FC 1934
19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
12 Sept
Excelsior 31
1 : 1 Purmersteijn
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
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19 Sept
VV Hoogeveen
0 : 2 Excelsior 31
05 Sept
VV Scherpenzeel
3 : 1 Excelsior 31
01 Sept
Harkemase Boys
0 : 1 Excelsior 31
22 Aug
Staphorst
2 : 4 Excelsior 31
23 May
Urk
1 : 2 Excelsior 31
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 63:36 | 67 |
| 2 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 59:39 | 62 |
| 3 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 19 | 4 | 11 | 84:43 | 61 |
| 4 | ADO 20 Heemskerk | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 46:36 | 60 |
| 5 | Genemuiden | 34 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 61:52 | 56 |
| 6 | Staphorst | 34 | 17 | 3 | 14 | 63:53 | 54 |
| 7 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 56:44 | 52 |
| 8 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 53:43 | 52 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 68:59 | 50 |
| 10 | VV Scherpenzeel | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 59:49 | 49 |
| 11 | VV Hoogeveen | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 54:64 | 48 |
| 12 | Sportlust | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 54:52 | 47 |
| 13 | USV Hercules | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 53:57 | 44 |
| 14 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 49:57 | 40 |
| 15 | Huizen | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 51:63 | 40 |
| 16 | TEC | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Urk | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 61:97 | 31 |
| 18 | HSC '21 | 34 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 35:109 | 8 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 68:43 | 73 |
| 2 | Lisse | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | VVSB | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 70:37 | 68 |
| 4 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:46 | 61 |
| 6 | Roosendaal | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 71:58 | 54 |
| 7 | TOGB | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 64:61 | 53 |
| 8 | VV Zwaluwen | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:48 | 51 |
| 9 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 53:51 | 48 |
| 10 | VV Noordwijk | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 56:51 | 44 |
| 11 | RKSV UDI 19 | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 57:74 | 39 |
| 12 | UNA | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 51:59 | 38 |
| 13 | GOES | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 43:61 | 37 |
| 14 | Groene Ster | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 45:64 | 36 |
| 15 | SteDoCo | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 35:69 | 34 |
| 16 | SVV Scheveningen | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 49:65 | 32 |
| 17 | Meerssen | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 47:70 | 31 |
| 18 | ASWH | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 45:87 | 25 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2025/2026 (Relegation)
