Sport Picks

Netherlands

Derde Divisie 2025/2026

USV Hercules

4 - 0

Harkemase Boys

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

USV Hercules in this Derde Divisie 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored USV Hercules.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

USV Hercules

Draws

Harkemase Boys

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: USV Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to USV Hercules lately — more wins on the board than Harkemase Boys.
90% — that's where the model lands on USV Hercules taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 5 times recently and Harkemase Boys have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%

USV Hercules Clean Sheet 18%

Harkemase Boys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	USV Hercules	Harkemase Boys
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	12	11
Draws	4	9
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	2.25	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Derde Divisie

USV Hercules vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 46% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

4:0

Dec 6, 2025 Derde Divisie

Harkemase Boys vs USV Hercules

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 4 - 0

4:2

Mar 29, 2025 Derde Divisie

Harkemase Boys vs USV Hercules

Possession: 49% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

3:1

Sep 21, 2024 Derde Divisie

USV Hercules vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 2 - 3

2:4

Mar 9, 2024 Derde Divisie

USV Hercules vs Harkemase Boys

Possession: 51% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USV Hercules 85 / 100

Harkemase Boys 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

USV Hercules Harkemase Boys

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: USV Hercules scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Harkemase Boys conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: USV Hercules remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USV Hercules VS Harkemase Boys

2.25 Goals Scored 1.13

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rohda Raalte	34	20	7	7	63:36	67
2	DVS '33 Ermelo	34	17	11	6	59:39	62
3	Sparta Nijkerk	34	19	4	11	84:43	61
4	ADO 20 Heemskerk	34	17	9	8	46:36	60
5	Genemuiden	34	17	5	12	61:52	56
6	Staphorst	34	17	3	14	63:53	54
7	Harkemase Boys	34	14	10	10	56:44	52
8	VV DOVO	34	15	7	12	53:43	52
9	Eemdijk	34	14	8	12	68:59	50
10	VV Scherpenzeel	34	14	7	13	59:49	49
11	VV Hoogeveen	34	14	6	14	54:64	48
12	Sportlust	34	14	5	15	54:52	47
13	USV Hercules	34	13	5	16	53:57	44
14	Excelsior 31	34	12	4	18	49:57	40
15	Huizen	34	11	7	16	51:63	40
16	TEC	34	12	4	18	48:64	40
17	Urk	34	8	7	19	61:97	31
18	HSC '21	34	1	5	28	35:109	8

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	VV Kloetinge	34	22	7	5	68:43	73
2	Lisse	34	20	8	6	67:33	68
3	VVSB	34	21	5	8	70:37	68
4	Rijnvogels	34	19	7	8	63:39	64
5	Gemert	34	17	10	7	71:46	61
6	Roosendaal	34	15	9	10	71:58	54
7	TOGB	34	15	8	11	64:61	53
8	VV Zwaluwen	34	15	6	13	61:48	51
9	Blauw Geel	34	14	6	14	53:51	48
10	VV Noordwijk	34	12	8	14	56:51	44
11	RKSV UDI 19	34	11	6	17	57:74	39
12	UNA	34	10	8	16	51:59	38
13	GOES	34	10	7	17	43:61	37
14	Groene Ster	34	10	6	18	45:64	36
15	SteDoCo	34	10	4	20	35:69	34
16	SVV Scheveningen	34	9	5	20	49:65	32
17	Meerssen	34	8	7	19	47:70	31
18	ASWH	34	6	7	21	45:87	25