Sport Picks
USV Hercules vs HBC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Netherlands
Derde Divisie 2024/2025 
Match Events
11'
11'
Homoet D.
87'
87'
Chiazor D.
AI Match Summary
The Derde Divisie 2024/2025 game between USV Hercules and HBC finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward USV Hercules.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- USV Hercules carry the better recent record into this one.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on USV Hercules taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 19%
HBC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | USV Hercules | HBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 1 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.74 | 1.23 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 2.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 17, 2025 Derde Divisie
USV Hercules vs HBC
2:0
Dec 8, 2024 Derde Divisie
HBC vs USV Hercules
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
USV Hercules Compare
Top Goalscorer Homoet D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chiazor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
HBC Compare
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
USV Hercules 67 / 100
HBC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
USV Hercules HBC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
USV Hercules scored in 81% of their last 31 games.
HBC has conceded goals in 100% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
USV Hercules has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
USV Hercules VS HBC
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
USV Hercules
(Home) 03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
27 Sept
HVV Hollandia
0 : 3 USV Hercules
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
12 Sept
Sparta Nijkerk
1 : 2 USV Hercules
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
USV Hercules
1 : 0 DVS '33 Ermelo
20 Sept
USV Hercules
2 : 4 TEC
05 Sept
USV Hercules
0 : 3 ACV Assen
02 Sept
USV Hercules
1 : 3 EVV
22 Aug
USV Hercules
0 : 4 Genemuiden
Page 1 of 4
HBC
(Away) 07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0 HBC
03 Jun
HBC
0 : 1 HVV Hollandia
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1 HBC
27 May
HBC
3 : 1 Flevo Boys
24 May
HBC
0 : 2 Huizen
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
HVV Hollandia
2 : 0 HBC
30 May
Flevo Boys
1 : 1 HBC
17 May
USV Hercules
2 : 0 HBC
03 May
Eemdijk
2 : 2 HBC
12 Apr
Ajax (Am)
1 : 0 HBC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | IJsselmeervogels | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 98:35 | 82 |
| 2 | Harkemase Boys | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 74:46 | 70 |
| 3 | Sportlust | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 78:37 | 67 |
| 4 | DVS '33 Ermelo | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 78:52 | 65 |
| 5 | Sparta Nijkerk | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 68:50 | 58 |
| 6 | USV Hercules | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 65:56 | 54 |
| 7 | VV DOVO | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 43:39 | 52 |
| 8 | Genemuiden | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 52:44 | 48 |
| 9 | Urk | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | 56:67 | 47 |
| 10 | Eemdijk | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 64:66 | 43 |
| 11 | TEC | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 46:56 | 42 |
| 12 | Rohda Raalte | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 63:68 | 40 |
| 13 | HSC '21 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 18 | 50:66 | 40 |
| 14 | Huizen | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 44:62 | 36 |
| 15 | Excelsior 31 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 46:71 | 36 |
| 16 | Ajax (Am) | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 48:64 | 35 |
| 17 | DEM | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 43:85 | 30 |
| 18 | HBC | 34 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 40:92 | 10 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HSV Hoek | 34 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 77:33 | 70 |
| 2 | Kozakken Boys | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 72:29 | 64 |
| 3 | Blauw Geel | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 73:45 | 64 |
| 4 | VV Kloetinge | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 66:42 | 61 |
| 5 | Gemert | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 57:50 | 58 |
| 6 | Lisse | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55:41 | 54 |
| 7 | UNA | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 51:48 | 53 |
| 8 | VVSB | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 61:61 | 51 |
| 9 | SteDoCo | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 57:46 | 48 |
| 10 | Meerssen | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:50 | 45 |
| 11 | Rijnvogels | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 63:72 | 45 |
| 12 | ASWH | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 59:73 | 42 |
| 13 | TOGB | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 55:53 | 41 |
| 14 | GOES | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 53:65 | 39 |
| 15 | OJC Rosmalen | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 45:58 | 39 |
| 16 | FC 's-Gravenzande | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 51:69 | 34 |
| 17 | Smitshoek | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 53:94 | 25 |
| 18 | HV & CV Quick | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 42:105 | 19 |
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie 2024/2025 (Relegation)
