Sport Picks

Stadium Background

USV Hercules vs Spakenburg

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Bastmeijer S.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Guiting J.
75' Event
van der Linden F.

AI Match Summary

Spakenburg in this KNVB Beker tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
USV Hercules
6%
Draws
4%
Spakenburg
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: USV Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spakenburg lately — more wins on the board than USV Hercules.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on USV Hercules taking it.
  • Spakenburg arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spakenburg, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spakenburg here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
USV Hercules Clean Sheet 14%
Spakenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric USV Hercules Spakenburg
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 KNVB Beker
USV Hercules vs Spakenburg
1:3
May 20, 2017 Tweede Divisie
Spakenburg vs USV Hercules
4:2
May 17, 2017 Tweede Divisie
USV Hercules vs Spakenburg
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USV Hercules Compare

Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Spakenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Guiting J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader van der Linden F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USV Hercules 84 / 100
Spakenburg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
USV Hercules Spakenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USV Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spakenburg has conceded goals in 81% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

USV Hercules scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: USV Hercules remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USV Hercules VS Spakenburg
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

USV Hercules

(Home)
23 May
TEC
0 : 0
USV Hercules
16 May
USV Hercules
4 : 0
Harkemase Boys
09 May
Sportlust
0 : 2
USV Hercules
25 Apr
Rohda Raalte
2 : 1
USV Hercules
18 Apr
USV Hercules
3 : 2
Excelsior 31
Page 1 of 6

Spakenburg

(Away)
18 Jul
Spakenburg
1 : 1
Jong Sparta Rotterdam
23 May
Koninklijke HFC
3 : 2
Spakenburg
16 May
Spakenburg
2 : 1
Katwijk
09 May
De Treffers
0 : 0
Spakenburg
25 Apr
Spakenburg
3 : 2
Rijnsburgse Boys
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Helmond Sport-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Zwolle-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AZ Alkmaar-
Aalsmeer2
HZVV Hoogeveen4
TBD-
Excelsior Maassluis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Excelsior-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
Walcheren1
VV Noordwijk3
TBD-
Hardenberg-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TOP Oss-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Utrecht-
USV Hercules4
GOES0
TBD-
Spakenburg-
RKVV Erp0
VV DOVO4
TEC3
SV Poortugaal2
Rohda Raalte4
HVV Hollandia1
SteDoCo0
DVS '33 Ermelo2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Twente-
SV Juliana 310
Meerssen2
Gemert2
Huizen1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sittard-
Harkemase Boys0
Sparta Nijkerk1
VV Kloetinge3
DVO0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Almere City-
HSV Hoek6
Rijnvogels4
Blauw Geel2
VVOG1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Eindhoven FC-
Lisse1
Westlandia0
VV Zwaluwen1
Urk2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Telstar-
VVSB1
Capelle2
SVV Scheveningen2
Staphorst0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Roda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
G.A. Eagles-
NAC Breda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Heracles-
De Foresters2
VV Scherpenzeel3
VV Hoogeveen6
Velocitas1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Emmen-
TOGB1
RKSV UDI 193
Sportlust4
Sportclub 251
Kozakken Boys4
Kampong0
TBD-
Barendrecht-
De Treffers-
TBD-
TBD-
RKAV Volendam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Maastricht-
Eemdijk4
Dongen0
DZOH Emmen2
Excelsior 315
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AFC-
Rijnsburgse Boys-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Willem II-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dordrecht-
Sparta Rotterdam-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Groningen-
Quick Boys-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Heino3
Groene Ster4
IJsselmeervogels0
Genemuiden1
RKSV Halsteren3
ACV Assen1
AWC0
ASWH2
Den Bosch-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Den Haag-
Katwijk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitesse-
PSV-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
ADO 20 Heemskerk0
Roosendaal2
TBD-
GVVV-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
De Graafschap-
Feyenoord-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Venlo-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Heerenveen-
Olde Veste0
HSC '213
't Zand4
Mierlo-Hout2
Koninklijke HFC-
TBD-
UNA1
ARC2
Waalwijk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cambuur-
1/64-finals
Helmond Sport-
TBD-
TBD-
Zwolle-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AZ Alkmaar-
HZVV Hoogeveen1
Excelsior Maassluis5
TBD-
Excelsior-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ajax-
VV Noordwijk0
Hardenberg2
TBD-
TOP Oss-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Utrecht-
USV Hercules1
Spakenburg3
VV DOVO1
TEC0
Rohda Raalte1
DVS '33 Ermelo0
TBD-
Twente-
Meerssen0
Gemert1
TBD-
Sittard-
Sparta Nijkerk4
VV Kloetinge3
TBD-
Almere City-
HSV Hoek1
Blauw Geel0
TBD-
Eindhoven FC-
Lisse4
Urk1
TBD-
Telstar-
Capelle5
SVV Scheveningen1
TBD-
Roda-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
G.A. Eagles-
NAC Breda-
TBD-
TBD-
Heracles-
VV Scherpenzeel3
VV Hoogeveen4
TBD-
FC Emmen-
RKSV UDI 190
Sportlust1
Kozakken Boys2
Barendrecht3
De Treffers6
RKAV Volendam3
TBD-
Maastricht-
Eemdijk2
Excelsior 311
TBD-
AFC-
Rijnsburgse Boys-
TBD-
TBD-
Nijmegen-
Willem II-
TBD-
TBD-
Dordrecht-
Sparta Rotterdam-
TBD-
TBD-
Groningen-
Quick Boys-
TBD-
TBD-
FC Volendam-
Groene Ster1
Genemuiden2
RKSV Halsteren3
ASWH2
Den Bosch-
TBD-
TBD-
Den Haag-
Katwijk-
TBD-
TBD-
Vitesse-
PSV-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Roosendaal0
GVVV1
TBD-
De Graafschap-
Feyenoord-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Venlo-
TBD-
TBD-
Heerenveen-
HSC '213
't Zand1
Koninklijke HFC5
ARC0
Waalwijk-
TBD-
TBD-
Cambuur-
1/32-finals
Helmond Sport1
Zwolle4
TBD-
AZ Alkmaar-
Excelsior Maassluis1
Excelsior0
TBD-
Ajax-
Hardenberg0
TOP Oss2
TBD-
Utrecht-
Spakenburg5
VV DOVO1
Rohda Raalte1
Twente4
Gemert0
Sittard1
Sparta Nijkerk0
Almere City2
HSV Hoek3
Eindhoven FC2
Lisse0
Telstar5
Capelle1
Roda5
TBD-
G.A. Eagles-
NAC Breda1
Heracles4
VV Hoogeveen1
FC Emmen0
Sportlust1
Barendrecht0
De Treffers3
Maastricht1
Eemdijk1
AFC2
Rijnsburgse Boys2
Nijmegen3
Willem II7
Dordrecht0
Sparta Rotterdam5
Groningen2
Quick Boys1
FC Volendam2
Genemuiden1
RKSV Halsteren0
Den Bosch4
Den Haag3
Katwijk2
Vitesse1
PSV-
TBD-
GVVV4
De Graafschap2
Feyenoord-
TBD-
Venlo0
Heerenveen3
HSC '213
Koninklijke HFC0
Waalwijk3
Cambuur2
1/16-finals
Zwolle1
AZ Alkmaar3
Excelsior Maassluis2
Ajax7
TOP Oss0
Utrecht2
Spakenburg3
Twente6
Sittard2
Almere City3
HSV Hoek1
Telstar4
Roda1
G.A. Eagles2
Heracles4
VV Hoogeveen1
Sportlust0
De Treffers1
AFC1
Nijmegen3
Willem II1
Sparta Rotterdam5
FC Volendam2
Genemuiden0
Den Bosch2
Katwijk1
PSV3
GVVV0
Feyenoord2
Heerenveen3
HSC '210
Waalwijk9
1/8-finals
AZ Alkmaar6
Ajax0
Utrecht1
Twente2
Almere City1
Telstar3
G.A. Eagles3
Heracles2
De Treffers1
Nijmegen2
Sparta Rotterdam1
FC Volendam2
Den Bosch1
PSV4
Heerenveen3
Waalwijk1
Quarter-finals
AZ Alkmaar2
Twente1
Telstar2
G.A. Eagles1
Nijmegen1
FC Volendam0
PSV4
Heerenveen1
Semi-finals
AZ Alkmaar2
Telstar1
Nijmegen3
PSV2
Final
AZ Alkmaar5
Nijmegen1