Sport Picks

Netherlands

KNVB Beker 2025/2026

USV Hercules

1 - 3

Spakenburg

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Bastmeijer S.

(Penalty)

40'

Guiting J.

75'

van der Linden F.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spakenburg in this KNVB Beker 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%

USV Hercules

15%

Draws

37%

Spakenburg

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: USV Hercules

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence

Spakenburg average 1.76 goals a game right now, well clear of USV Hercules's 1.72.
48% — that's where the model lands on USV Hercules taking it.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
Historical meetings favor Spakenburg, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Spakenburg here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%

USV Hercules Clean Sheet 10%

Spakenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	USV Hercules	Spakenburg
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	12
Draws	5	7
Losses	12	10
Goals Scored	1.72	1.76
Goals Conceded	1.72	1.76
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2025 KNVB Beker

USV Hercules vs Spakenburg

1:3

May 20, 2017 Tweede Divisie

Spakenburg vs USV Hercules

4:2

May 17, 2017 Tweede Divisie

USV Hercules vs Spakenburg

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

USV Hercules Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Spakenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Guiting J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader van der Linden F.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

USV Hercules 38 / 100

Spakenburg 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

USV Hercules Spakenburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick USV Hercules Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.

USV Hercules's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Spakenburg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: USV Hercules remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

USV Hercules VS Spakenburg

1.5 Goals Scored 1.38

2.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

100% Over 1.5 88%

100% Over 2.5 63%

63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

USV Hercules

(Home)

03 Oct

USV Hercules

1 : 0

DVS '33 Ermelo

27 Sept

HVV Hollandia

0 : 3

USV Hercules

20 Sept

USV Hercules

2 : 4

TEC

12 Sept

Sparta Nijkerk

1 : 2

USV Hercules

05 Sept

USV Hercules

0 : 3

ACV Assen

Page 1 of 6

Spakenburg

(Away)

03 Oct

Spakenburg

2 : 1

AFC

26 Sept

De Treffers

5 : 0

Spakenburg

22 Sept

RKAV Volendam

3 : 2

Spakenburg

19 Sept

Spakenburg

1 : 1

Jong Sparta Rotterdam

12 Sept

Jong Almere City

0 : 3

Spakenburg

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Aalsmeer 2

HZVV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

Excelsior Maassluis -

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

Walcheren 1

VV Noordwijk 3

TBD -

Hardenberg -

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 4

GOES 0

TBD -

Spakenburg -

RKVV Erp 0

VV DOVO 4

TEC 3

SV Poortugaal 2

Rohda Raalte 4

HVV Hollandia 1

SteDoCo 0

DVS '33 Ermelo 2

TBD -

Twente -

SV Juliana 31 0

Meerssen 2

Gemert 2

Huizen 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Harkemase Boys 0

Sparta Nijkerk 1

VV Kloetinge 3

DVO 0

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 6

Rijnvogels 4

Blauw Geel 2

VVOG 1

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 1

Westlandia 0

VV Zwaluwen 1

Urk 2

TBD -

Telstar -

VVSB 1

Capelle 2

SVV Scheveningen 2

Staphorst 0

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

De Foresters 2

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 6

Velocitas 1

TBD -

FC Emmen -

TOGB 1

RKSV UDI 19 3

Sportlust 4

Sportclub 25 1

Kozakken Boys 4

Kampong 0

TBD -

Barendrecht -

De Treffers -

TBD -

RKAV Volendam -

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 4

Dongen 0

DZOH Emmen 2

Excelsior 31 5

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Heino 3

Groene Ster 4

IJsselmeervogels 0

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 3

ACV Assen 1

AWC 0

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

ADO 20 Heemskerk 0

Roosendaal 2

TBD -

GVVV -

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

Olde Veste 0

HSC '21 3

't Zand 4

Mierlo-Hout 2

Koninklijke HFC -

TBD -

UNA 1

ARC 2

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/64-finals

Helmond Sport -

TBD -

Zwolle -

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

HZVV Hoogeveen 1

Excelsior Maassluis 5

TBD -

Excelsior -

TBD -

Ajax -

VV Noordwijk 0

Hardenberg 2

TBD -

TOP Oss -

TBD -

Utrecht -

USV Hercules 1

Spakenburg 3

VV DOVO 1

TEC 0

Rohda Raalte 1

DVS '33 Ermelo 0

TBD -

Twente -

Meerssen 0

Gemert 1

TBD -

Sittard -

Sparta Nijkerk 4

VV Kloetinge 3

TBD -

Almere City -

HSV Hoek 1

Blauw Geel 0

TBD -

Eindhoven FC -

Lisse 4

Urk 1

TBD -

Telstar -

Capelle 5

SVV Scheveningen 1

TBD -

Roda -

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda -

TBD -

Heracles -

VV Scherpenzeel 3

VV Hoogeveen 4

TBD -

FC Emmen -

RKSV UDI 19 0

Sportlust 1

Kozakken Boys 2

Barendrecht 3

De Treffers 6

RKAV Volendam 3

TBD -

Maastricht -

Eemdijk 2

Excelsior 31 1

TBD -

AFC -

Rijnsburgse Boys -

TBD -

Nijmegen -

Willem II -

TBD -

Dordrecht -

Sparta Rotterdam -

TBD -

Groningen -

Quick Boys -

TBD -

FC Volendam -

Groene Ster 1

Genemuiden 2

RKSV Halsteren 3

ASWH 2

Den Bosch -

TBD -

Den Haag -

Katwijk -

TBD -

Vitesse -

PSV -

TBD -

Roosendaal 0

GVVV 1

TBD -

De Graafschap -

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo -

TBD -

Heerenveen -

HSC '21 3

't Zand 1

Koninklijke HFC 5

ARC 0

Waalwijk -

TBD -

Cambuur -

1/32-finals

Helmond Sport 1

Zwolle 4

TBD -

AZ Alkmaar -

Excelsior Maassluis 1

Excelsior 0

TBD -

Ajax -

Hardenberg 0

TOP Oss 2

TBD -

Utrecht -

Spakenburg 5

VV DOVO 1

Rohda Raalte 1

Twente 4

Gemert 0

Sittard 1

Sparta Nijkerk 0

Almere City 2

HSV Hoek 3

Eindhoven FC 2

Lisse 0

Telstar 5

Capelle 1

Roda 5

TBD -

G.A. Eagles -

NAC Breda 1

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

FC Emmen 0

Sportlust 1

Barendrecht 0

De Treffers 3

Maastricht 1

Eemdijk 1

AFC 2

Rijnsburgse Boys 2

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 7

Dordrecht 0

Sparta Rotterdam 5

Groningen 2

Quick Boys 1

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 1

RKSV Halsteren 0

Den Bosch 4

Den Haag 3

Katwijk 2

Vitesse 1

PSV -

TBD -

GVVV 4

De Graafschap 2

Feyenoord -

TBD -

Venlo 0

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 3

Koninklijke HFC 0

Waalwijk 3

Cambuur 2

1/16-finals

Zwolle 1

AZ Alkmaar 3

Excelsior Maassluis 2

Ajax 7

TOP Oss 0

Utrecht 2

Spakenburg 3

Twente 6

Sittard 2

Almere City 3

HSV Hoek 1

Telstar 4

Roda 1

G.A. Eagles 2

Heracles 4

VV Hoogeveen 1

Sportlust 0

De Treffers 1

AFC 1

Nijmegen 3

Willem II 1

Sparta Rotterdam 5

FC Volendam 2

Genemuiden 0

Den Bosch 2

Katwijk 1

PSV 3

GVVV 0

Feyenoord 2

Heerenveen 3

HSC '21 0

Waalwijk 9

1/8-finals

AZ Alkmaar 6

Ajax 0

Utrecht 1

Twente 2

Almere City 1

Telstar 3

G.A. Eagles 3

Heracles 2

De Treffers 1

Nijmegen 2

Sparta Rotterdam 1

FC Volendam 2

Den Bosch 1

PSV 4

Heerenveen 3

Waalwijk 1

Quarter-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Twente 1

Telstar 2

G.A. Eagles 1

Nijmegen 1

FC Volendam 0

PSV 4

Heerenveen 1

Semi-finals

AZ Alkmaar 2

Telstar 1

Nijmegen 3

PSV 2

Final

AZ Alkmaar 5

Nijmegen 1

USV Hercules vs Spakenburg

Netherlands

USV Hercules

Spakenburg

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

USV Hercules Compare

Spakenburg Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

USV Hercules

Spakenburg

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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