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Utah Avalanche vs New Mexico U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

New Mexico U23 in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Mexico U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Utah Avalanche
30%
Draws
39%
New Mexico U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: New Mexico U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • New Mexico U23 have won more games recently than Utah Avalanche.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Utah Avalanche taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Utah Avalanche Clean Sheet 11%
New Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah Avalanche New Mexico U23
Matches Played 12 29
Wins 4 14
Draws 3 2
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.17 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2024 USL League Two
Utah Avalanche vs New Mexico U23
1:2
Jun 11, 2024 USL League Two
New Mexico U23 vs Utah Avalanche
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah Avalanche 35 / 100
New Mexico U23 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah Avalanche New Mexico U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Utah Avalanche scored in 92% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

New Mexico U23's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Utah Avalanche went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utah Avalanche VS New Mexico U23
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Utah Avalanche

(Home)
14 Jul
Albion Colorado
0 : 1
Utah Avalanche
12 Jul
Flatirons
4 : 1
Utah Avalanche
07 Jul
Utah Avalanche
0 : 0
Salt City
03 Jul
Utah Avalanche
1 : 2
Utah United
30 Jun
Utah Avalanche
1 : 2
New Mexico U23
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New Mexico U23

(Away)
09 Jul
New Mexico U23
0 : 2
Albion Colorado
02 Jul
Salt City
1 : 1
New Mexico U23
30 Jun
Utah Avalanche
1 : 2
New Mexico U23
28 Jun
Utah United
2 : 2
New Mexico U23
16 Jun
Flatirons
2 : 1
New Mexico U23
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