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Utah United vs New Mexico U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two 2024
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this USL League Two 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Utah United
30%
Draws
23%
New Mexico U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Utah United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Utah United have won more games recently than New Mexico U23.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Utah United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Utah United Clean Sheet 20%
New Mexico U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utah United New Mexico U23
Matches Played 33 29
Wins 19 14
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 2.3 1.59
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2024 USL League Two
Utah United vs New Mexico U23
2:2
Jun 6, 2024 USL League Two
New Mexico U23 vs Utah United
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utah United 85 / 100
New Mexico U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utah United New Mexico U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utah United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utah United's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Defensive concern: New Mexico U23 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Utah United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utah United VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Utah United

(Home)
18 Jul
Ballard
2 : 1
Utah United
28 Jun
Real Colorado
1 : 3
Utah United
26 Jun
Flatirons
0 : 3
Utah United
20 Jun
Utah United
0 : 0
Colorado Storm
19 Jun
Utah United
3 : 1
Atletico Union
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New Mexico U23

(Away)
09 Jul
New Mexico U23
0 : 2
Albion Colorado
02 Jul
Salt City
1 : 1
New Mexico U23
30 Jun
Utah Avalanche
1 : 2
New Mexico U23
28 Jun
Utah United
2 : 2
New Mexico U23
16 Jun
Flatirons
2 : 1
New Mexico U23
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