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Utebo FC vs Guadalajara

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Canizo A.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Diaz B.
51' Event

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Utebo FC and Guadalajara finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Utebo FC
39%
Draws
31%
Guadalajara
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Utebo FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Utebo FC Clean Sheet 68%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utebo FC Guadalajara
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 12 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Utebo FC vs Guadalajara
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utebo FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Guadalajara Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Amigo D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utebo FC 41 / 100
Guadalajara 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utebo FC Guadalajara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UTE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utebo FC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Guadalajara let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Utebo FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utebo FC VS Guadalajara
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%