Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026

Utebo FC

1 - 0

Naxara

Our Tip

Match Events

20'

Suarez D.

(Penalty)

30'

Garcia A.

30'

Garcia A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Utebo FC and Naxara finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Utebo FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Utebo FC

39%

Draws

31%

Naxara

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Naxara have managed 1.13 goals a game lately — Utebo FC are scoring more at 1.38.
39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Utebo FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Utebo FC Clean Sheet 68%

Naxara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Utebo FC	Naxara
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	13	13
Draws	6	5
Losses	13	14
Goals Scored	1.38	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Utebo FC vs Naxara

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Oct 19, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Naxara vs Utebo FC

Possession: 48% - 52% Cards: 2 - 4

0:2

Mar 10, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Naxara vs Utebo FC

Possession: 45% - 59% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Oct 28, 2023 Segunda RFEF - Group 2

Utebo FC vs Naxara

Possession: 50% - 41% Cards: 1 - 2

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utebo FC 41 / 100

Naxara 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Utebo FC Naxara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UTE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Utebo FC found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (32 games).

Naxara has conceded goals in 78% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.25 goals.

Naxara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Utebo FC VS Naxara

1.38 Goals Scored 1.13

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Union	34	20	9	5	64:35	69
2	Alaves B	34	17	11	6	41:20	62
3	UD Logrones	34	18	7	9	73:33	61
4	Utebo FC	34	17	7	10	56:42	58
5	Tudelano	34	16	9	9	56:40	57
6	Amorebieta	34	13	11	10	38:32	50
7	Sestao	34	12	14	8	40:33	50
8	Ebro	34	11	16	7	42:36	49
9	Eibar B	34	14	7	13	41:42	49
10	Basconia	34	11	14	9	55:43	47
11	Gernika Club	34	12	9	13	34:40	45
12	Naxara	34	11	8	15	39:48	41
13	SD Logrones	34	8	13	13	22:40	37
14	Beasain	34	8	12	14	38:46	36
15	SD Ejea	34	8	11	15	35:55	35
16	Mutilvera	34	8	6	20	31:65	30
17	Zaragoza B	34	7	7	20	32:59	28
18	Alfaro	34	6	7	21	32:60	25