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Utenis vs Banga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Anulis E.
32' Event
Bacanskis A.
42' Event
Garcia J.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2018 game between Utenis and Banga finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Banga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Utenis
20%
Draws
50%
Banga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Banga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Banga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Banga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular I Lyga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Banga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Utenis Clean Sheet 20%
Banga Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utenis Banga
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 17
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.53 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 18, 2018 I Lyga
Utenis vs Banga
2:3
Apr 14, 2018 I Lyga
Banga vs Utenis
2:1
Aug 15, 2008 I Lyga
Banga vs Utenis
6:1
Jun 1, 2008 I Lyga
Utenis vs Banga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Savenas M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Banga Compare

Top Goalscorer Anulis E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bacanskis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utenis 10 / 100
Banga 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utenis Banga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Banga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Utenis scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Banga conceded in 62% of 34 recent games.

Solid form: Utenis remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Banga
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Utenis

(Home)
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5
Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5
FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3
Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
Page 1 of 6

Banga

(Away)
19 Sept
Banga
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
14 Sept
Banga
1 : 3
Transinvest
03 Sept
Banga
0 : 3
FK Panevezys
30 Aug
Banga
0 : 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris
23 Aug
FC Hegelmann
1 : 1
Banga
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Panevezys 26 18 4 4 77:26 58
2 Dainava Alytus 26 17 6 3 59:22 57
3 Banga 26 18 0 8 51:24 54
4 Nevezis Kedainiai 26 16 5 5 63:31 53
5 Dziugas Telsiai 26 14 3 9 49:34 45
6 Vilniaus Vytis 26 13 5 8 67:44 44
7 FC Pakruojis 26 13 3 10 44:44 42
8 Utenis 26 12 5 9 46:33 41
9 FC Stumbras 2 26 10 6 10 42:37 36
10 BE1 NFA 26 8 3 15 44:45 27
11 Riteriai 2 26 7 5 14 39:59 26
12 Zalgiris 2 26 6 3 17 26:57 21
13 Kupiskis 26 4 2 20 46:91 14
14 Koralas Klaipeda 26 1 0 25 5:111 3
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2018 (Relegation - Play Offs)