Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Utenis vs BE1 NFA

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Vareika M.
59' Event
Vareika M.
86' Event
Ratkevicius R.

AI Match Summary

BE1 NFA in this I Lyga 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored BE1 NFA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Utenis
15%
Draws
57%
BE1 NFA
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BE1 NFA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BE1 NFA lately — more wins on the board than Utenis.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on BE1 NFA taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Utenis Clean Sheet 16%
BE1 NFA Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utenis BE1 NFA
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 12 18
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.53 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2018 I Lyga
Utenis vs BE1 NFA
0:4
Jul 4, 2018 I Lyga
BE1 NFA vs Utenis
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utenis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

BE1 NFA Compare

Top Goalscorer Vareika M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ratkevicius R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utenis 11 / 100
BE1 NFA 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utenis BE1 NFA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BE1 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Utenis scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

BE1 NFA let in goals in 66% of their last 35 matches.

BE1 NFA lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS BE1 NFA
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Utenis

(Home)
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5
Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5
FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3
Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
Page 1 of 6

BE1 NFA

(Away)
08 Aug
FK Minija
3 : 0
BE1 NFA
31 Jul
BE1 NFA
0 : 2
Jonava
26 Jul
BFA Vilnius
3 : 1
BE1 NFA
01 Jul
FK Atmosfera
0 : 1
BE1 NFA
26 Jun
BE1 NFA
2 : 1
Zalgiris 2
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Panevezys 26 18 4 4 77:26 58
2 Dainava Alytus 26 17 6 3 59:22 57
3 Banga 26 18 0 8 51:24 54
4 Nevezis Kedainiai 26 16 5 5 63:31 53
5 Dziugas Telsiai 26 14 3 9 49:34 45
6 Vilniaus Vytis 26 13 5 8 67:44 44
7 FC Pakruojis 26 13 3 10 44:44 42
8 Utenis 26 12 5 9 46:33 41
9 FC Stumbras 2 26 10 6 10 42:37 36
10 BE1 NFA 26 8 3 15 44:45 27
11 Riteriai 2 26 7 5 14 39:59 26
12 Zalgiris 2 26 6 3 17 26:57 21
13 Kupiskis 26 4 2 20 46:91 14
14 Koralas Klaipeda 26 1 0 25 5:111 3
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2018 (Relegation - Play Offs)