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Utenis vs FC Stumbras 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Bahi M.
38' Event
Antanavicius D.

AI Match Summary

The I Lyga 2018 game between Utenis and FC Stumbras 2 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Utenis
15%
Draws
57%
FC Stumbras 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: FC Stumbras 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Utenis carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on FC Stumbras 2 taking it.
  • Regular I Lyga 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Utenis Clean Sheet 10%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utenis FC Stumbras 2
Matches Played 30 13
Wins 12 4
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.53 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.90 2.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2018 I Lyga
Utenis vs FC Stumbras 2
1:1
May 4, 2018 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs Utenis
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Utenis Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahi M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.45

FC Stumbras 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Antanavicius D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utenis 10 / 100
FC Stumbras 2 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utenis FC Stumbras 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Stumbras 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Utenis scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

FC Stumbras 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 13 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Stumbras 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Utenis VS FC Stumbras 2
0.6 Goals Scored 0
3.2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
80% Over 2.5 0%
40% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Utenis

(Home)
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5
Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5
FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3
Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
Page 1 of 6

FC Stumbras 2

(Away)
23 Jun
FC Hegelmann
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
18 Jun
Dziugas Telsiai
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
20 May
Banga
3 : 0
FC Stumbras 2
13 May
Dainava Alytus
0 : 2
FC Stumbras 2
05 May
FC Stumbras 2
4 : 0
Riteriai 2
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Panevezys 26 18 4 4 77:26 58
2 Dainava Alytus 26 17 6 3 59:22 57
3 Banga 26 18 0 8 51:24 54
4 Nevezis Kedainiai 26 16 5 5 63:31 53
5 Dziugas Telsiai 26 14 3 9 49:34 45
6 Vilniaus Vytis 26 13 5 8 67:44 44
7 FC Pakruojis 26 13 3 10 44:44 42
8 Utenis 26 12 5 9 46:33 41
9 FC Stumbras 2 26 10 6 10 42:37 36
10 BE1 NFA 26 8 3 15 44:45 27
11 Riteriai 2 26 7 5 14 39:59 26
12 Zalgiris 2 26 6 3 17 26:57 21
13 Kupiskis 26 4 2 20 46:91 14
14 Koralas Klaipeda 26 1 0 25 5:111 3
Promotion - A Lyga 2019 (Main)
Promotion - A Lyga 2018 (Relegation - Play Offs)