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Utenis vs Kruoja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Lithuania Lithuania

A Lyga 2015
Sat, Oct 3, 2015
3 - 0
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Utenis host Kruoja in the A Lyga 2015. Utenis are expected to control this from the start. Utenis have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Kruoja's 0.4 scored and 2.37 conceded. Head-to-head, Utenis have won 1 to Kruoja's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 3, 2015, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.54 vs 1.19, favoring Utenis. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Utenis
15%
Draws
0%
Kruoja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Utenis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Utenis come out ahead of Kruoja on wins alone.
  • Model gives Utenis a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular A Lyga 2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Utenis Clean Sheet 20%
Kruoja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Utenis Kruoja
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 18 1
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.52 0.4
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2015 TOPLYGA
Utenis vs Kruoja
3:0
Jul 30, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Utenis
2:1
May 12, 2015 TOPLYGA
Utenis vs Kruoja
0:0
Mar 15, 2015 TOPLYGA
Kruoja vs Utenis
1:0
Oct 4, 2008 I Lyga
Kruoja vs Utenis
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Utenis 58 / 100
Kruoja 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Utenis Kruoja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Utenis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Kruoja conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Kruoja registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Utenis scored in 78% of their last 40 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Utenis VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Utenis

(Home)
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5
Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5
FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3
Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1
Atlantas
Page 1 of 8

Kruoja

(Away)
28 Nov
FC Stumbras
3 : 0
Kruoja
21 Nov
Kruoja
0 : 3
Atlantas
09 Nov
Zalgiris
3 : 0
Kruoja
30 Oct
Kruoja
0 : 3
FK Kauno Zalgiris
24 Oct
Siauliai
3 : 0
Kruoja
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zalgiris 36 31 1 4 104:25 94
2 Riteriai 36 27 3 6 92:33 84
3 Atlantas 36 21 7 8 65:34 70
4 Suduva 36 21 4 11 76:34 67
5 FK Kauno Zalgiris 36 13 6 17 47:74 45
6 Utenis 36 11 9 16 41:50 42
7 FC Stumbras 36 11 8 17 51:74 41
8 Granitas Klaipeda 36 6 9 21 37:83 27
9 Siauliai 36 5 5 26 37:94 20
10 Kruoja 36 4 8 24 23:72 20
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