Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Kovbasa A.
61'
61'
Jorge Eduardo
78'
78'
Bulka A.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Tauras Taurage in this Lithuanian Cup 2025 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
15%
69%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tauras Taurage
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ Very High Confidence
- Utenis haven't matched Tauras Taurage's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Tauras Taurage taking it.
- Tauras Taurage arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Tauras Taurage, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Utenis Clean Sheet 19%
Tauras Taurage Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Utenis | Tauras Taurage |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 33 |
| Wins | 12 | 21 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 14 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0 | 1.5 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2025 Lithuanian Cup
Utenis vs Tauras Taurage
1:5
Sep 6, 2014 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Utenis
0:5
Jun 21, 2014 I Lyga
Utenis vs Tauras Taurage
3:1
Jul 29, 2008 I Lyga
Utenis vs Tauras Taurage
0:3
May 3, 2008 I Lyga
Tauras Taurage vs Utenis
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Utenis Compare
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0
Tauras Taurage Compare
Top Goalscorer Kovbasa A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Jorge Eduardo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Utenis 10 / 100
Tauras Taurage 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Utenis Tauras Taurage
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick TAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Utenis found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: Tauras Taurage conceded in 70% of 33 recent games.
Recent resilience: Utenis stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Tauras Taurage
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Utenis
(Home) 29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5 Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5 FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3 Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2 FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1 Atlantas
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Utenis
1 : 5 Tauras Taurage
07 May
Utenis
0 : 5 FK Panevezys
22 May
Utenis
0 : 3 Silute
30 Jun
Utenis
0 : 2 FK Sveikata Kybartai
20 Jun
Utenis
2 : 1 Atlantas
Page 1 of 4
Tauras Taurage
(Away) 02 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
24 Jul
Tauras Taurage
4 : 2 FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
19 Jul
Tauras Taurage
3 : 1 Siauliai 2
01 Jul
Siauliai 2
1 : 3 Tauras Taurage
27 Jun
Transinvest 2
0 : 1 Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 7
02 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1 Tauras Taurage
01 Jul
Siauliai 2
1 : 3 Tauras Taurage
27 Jun
Transinvest 2
0 : 1 Tauras Taurage
12 Jun
BE1 NFA
1 : 0 Tauras Taurage
23 May
FK Minija
2 : 1 Tauras Taurage
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
AFK Vilnius 4
Pempininkai 2
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Babrungas 2
Nevezis Kedainiai 1
FK Minija 3
FK Cementininkas 2
Dziugas Telsiai 3
Sirijus 0
Transinvest 5
VGTU Vilkai 0
FC Hegelmann 6
FK Atmosfera 0
Banga 2
Riteriai 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dainava Alytus 0
Zalgiris 6
Neptunas 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 1
Utenis 1
Tauras Taurage 5
Vilnius FA 0
Suduva 4
Kazlu Ruda 1
BE1 NFA 0
Klaipedos FM 2
Jonava 3
Garliava 1
Ekranas 0
Trivartis Vilnius 0
FK Panevezys 13
1/8-finals
AFK Vilnius 0
FK Babrungas 6
FK Minija 0
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Transinvest 0
FC Hegelmann 1
Banga 0
FA Siauliai 1
Zalgiris 2
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Tauras Taurage 1
Suduva 3
Kazlu Ruda 1
Jonava 4
Garliava 0
FK Panevezys 3
Quarter-finals
FK Babrungas 1
Dziugas Telsiai 2
FC Hegelmann 3
FA Siauliai 1
FK Kauno Zalgiris 0
Suduva 2
Jonava 1
FK Panevezys 4
Semi-finals
Dziugas Telsiai 1
FC Hegelmann 2
Suduva 0
FK Panevezys 2
Final
FC Hegelmann 0
FK Panevezys 1
